PA-SN 2022 megathread: Shrek vs. The Wizard of Oz

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fetterman is easily gonna win, everyone is gonna split the Philly vote and he is gonna win Pittsburgh

The are all lining up to just lose and have to run for Gov, Fetterman was easily winning the primary at 40%

I hope Lamb runs for Gov, I like him

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fetterman is Bob Casey Jr a Blue Dog just like Jelly, Jackson and Ryan whom all can win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Rs can win the Gov race, the states don't have to vote the same way for Prez and Sen, I have the D's winning the Sen and the Rs woman my the Gov race just like Whitmer is in trouble in MI

After 2 Terms PA Gov usually flips to the otherpsrty and Bartlett is a strong candidate and the Rs have a strong field for Gov

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fetterman is Bob Casey Jr a Blue Dog just like Jelly, Jackson and Ryan whom all can win

Fetterman is no Blue Dog, he's a progressive. And one of the best representatives of that wing of the party.

Bob Casey Jr. is no Blue Dog either, and neither is Tim Ryan. Can I ask you a question, Pres. Johnson? Haven't you seen enough posts by Olowakandi to know that his posts are often inaccurate or nonsensical?

Of course I have, but sometimes it's funny to respond anyway. OC is gonna be OC

Tim Ryan, MANCHIN, TESTER, King, Jackson, Kelly, Sinema, Bennett, Hickenlooper all signed the petition that they weren't gonna Crt pack based on LGBT issue, in my world it's a blue 🐶 DOG or in your World it's a moderate

Edwards, Landrieu, and Lincoln are moderates, Pryor, Breaux and Miller were Blue Dog

YOU CAN CALL THEM PRAGMATIC, MODERATES OR BLUE DOGS BUT WHEN 10 MODERATES SIGN A PETITION NOT TO CRT PACK THEY ARE BLUE DOGS

SHAHEEN IS A MODERATE, NOT A BLUE DOG

If we get 53 seats we can Crt pack but PR won't be a State it would be DC and 11 judge panel making Roberts the moderate

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Shapiro is waiting on what Lamb is gonna do, either of them are gonna be the next Gov of PA, Lamb is just as strong as Shapiro against Bartlettle

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Parnell almost beat Lamb, he's got a good chance in the general election.

Do you look at polls, Fetterman is up 9 pts like Kelly is, it's early, but goes to show you about your Parnell

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If D's don't win Pza, they don't win the Senate anyways, just like in 2024/ Rs think they're gonna win the Prez by winning PA and Bob Casey Jr is up and he is Unbeatable

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Take those Trump margins and lower it more because Trump almost won before the Insurrectionists

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Whomever is nominated is gonna win this seat and WI anyways

The question is can Ryan, Beasley, Val , Kunce, Gross and MAUBAUER win, I know the Rs don't believe we can win all these seats but our candidates are better than 2020 candidates HEGAR, Greenfield and Cunningham

The D's had Bollier, Bullock and Joe Kennedy were all wasted


Mandel and Renacci already lost to Sherrod Brown, if Ryan is behind he isn't behind by double digits it's a single digit race, Ryan never lost a race to an R before only D nomination for Prez let's not overdo it with how great Mandel is, but Renacci is a better candidate by far and can win Gov race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am not saying we are gonna sweep but we can win some of the states outside the blue wall, with 500 days an R takeover of the H isn't inevitable so ce Ra ranked in Cali and Cali can Redistrct Ta out of Cali, NY and IL and pad our 5 point lead.

The Rs are back to 2018 support in Cali where they lost 4 seats

The Election isn't in 180 days it's 500 days let's wait until we get Redistricting maps any type of wave in Senate will let us keep the H

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fetterman isn't loosing this race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fetterman is clearly the Fav because all the candidates are gonna split the Philly vote just like the Lt Gov and Lamb helps Feeterman being in race with blue collar appeal, but Mandela Barnes has a better chance in WI

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sherrod Brown was elected in 20o6/ a very long time ago and reelected during D wave years, the problem with Keyanetta is obvious his sexual orientation, if he was a different, like Mandela Barnes or Raphael Warnock he obviously would gain more traction, but this race has always been Fettermans

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fetterman is the nominee, it never was in doubt

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We have enough people in this race it tilts D just like WI due to PA and WI need upgrades on infrastructure have you seen WI, it's a factory based state and so is Pittsburgh, they want to look modern, all the candidates are gonna split Philly and Fetterman wins Pittsburgh like LG and he easily wina

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lamb will announce next Friday.

Glorious news

Fetterman is still heavily favored, the only poll on this race had Fetterman leading the primary and GE by nine pts in GE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fetterman should of ran for Gov and Lamb and Keyanetta for Senate but that leaves out Shapiro, the D's wanted an easy pickup to concentrate on other races, but it backfired on them, it looks like 2020 all over again, D's winning only 2 WI and PA and Loosing GA, if Abrams don't run for Gov, Herschel Walker should not be underestimated due to a Runoff

With Biden at 51/46% approval rating the same as he was on Election isn't Landslide Biden, like Bill Clinton was he is a 278 Clinton like Hillary was and is tared by Tara Reade like Bill Clinton was with Lewinsky

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sinema said this on the View https://www.yahoo.com/news/sen-kyrsten-sinema-defends-her-141603223.html

She just wants to exert power in the Reconciliation and Infrastructure as soon as D's get 52 Senators she will unblock everything after 2022 as long as we hold onto H, and Rs aren't gonna win the H if Crist beats DeSANTIS

Everyone thinks Golden and Pappas are going down, Collins isn't on the ballot in 2020,, that's why Trump overperformed ME

She is blocking VR reform that's gonna doom Polquin, LePage chances in 2022, anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Rs can't beat Bib Casey Jr whom is alot like Fetterman whom won by nine, Sean Parnell won't beat Fetterman

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

"Parnell will beat Fetterman in the general.

Source: trust me guys"

The only R that thinks that Parnell would win was French Republican and as of now we haven't heard from him

The other Rs say that, but they know that Fetterman is gonna win, French Republican said Fetterman was overrated

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's funny how many people think Vigilante Shrek has this is in the bag. LOL.

If "Vigilante Shrek" is Fetterman, I'm not one of them. Pennsylvania being 3 points to the right of the nation + a slightly R-leaning national environment = Parnell winning by up to 5 points.

No it's not Biden is at the same Approvals as he was on Election night his Approvals went down from 64% to 50/45% as soon as 1400 stimulus checks ran out

His support went dry in RED SOUTH DUE TO THE COVID VACCINES, RED SOUTH DOESN'T WANT COVID, NOT PA, WI, We are more likely to lose GA than lose WI, due to Runoff

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I Conor Lamb.

Fetterman and hopefully Ryan whom is running against Josh Mandel and Barnes win, I rather have Keyanetta do t underestimate Keyanetta either

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I want Keyanetta

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden isn't at 60% Approvals, I would remind D's that D's were leading on GENERIC BALLOT in 2014 until the last weekend in Oct and LOST, Biden is chicken in Afghanistan

CCM is very vulnerable too and so is Warnock he is leading but he needs 50% to win Runoff, and this isn't 2020 where Trump was on ballot


Some models have CCM now losing to Laxalt

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden isn't at 60% Approvals, I would remind D's that D's were leading on GENERIC BALLOT in 2014 until the last weekend in Oct and LOST, Biden is chicken in Afghanistan

CCM is very vulnerable too and so is Warnock he is leading but he needs 50% to win Runoff, and this isn't 2020 where Trump was on ballot

Progressive Moderate was right CCM was our weak link not Hassan and we still don't have a poll

Some models have CCM now losing to Laxalt