Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Marist - 43/52 among RV

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_Trust_Climate_202307281317.pdf

Rassy has it right 47/51 exactly where Bush W was on the eve of 2004 and got reelected, but if it's an 80/70 M vote turnout not a 22 62/60 M with Trump Indictment it's a blue wave in Oct 24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Marist 43% / 52% is a stark drop from their last 2 polls. Their last two polls were:

47% / 49% (conducted 06/14-06/20)
45% / 49% (05/15 - 05/18)

Lol Rassy has Biden at 47/51 win ab Eday first in KY, LA and MS tou guys lost the last three as I have to you before WI, PA and Jax FL in 23 not 22

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Marist - 43/52 among RV

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_Trust_Climate_202307281317.pdf

I think this is most likely where things actually stand as of today.

Lol Rassy 47/51, not. I posted the link

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/current_events/politics/prez_track_aug03

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol Rassy 47/51, not. I posted the link

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/current_events/politics/prez_track_aug03

Nope, CNN today has 41%-59% . Biden is between -15 and -20% net approval

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23895856-cnn-poll-on-biden-economy-and-elections

Just stop Rassy has Biden at 47/51when Rs win an Eday which they lost then I would believe that Biden is at 41 percent Rassy has it 47/51 and no way with Trump indictments is Trump gonna get rerlected


You keep posting approvals but Rs can't win the blue wall


Edays aren't a poll on Approvals it's a poll of voters the Approvals had Rs winning 249 seats and 53 S seats RCP

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obama warned Biden today at their lunch not to underestimate Trump, even if he goes to prison. His numbers are not looking good. But the bright side is that there is a while until election day.

Lol Biden is at the same place Bush W was in 2004 5% unemployment and the Final CNN poll had Bush W 47/51 Approvals just like Rassy has Biden Biden isn't at 40% and haven't been at 41% since Omnicron surge when we lost VA narrowly by 2 it's a 303 map anyways, Gallego is leading by alot over Lake but KY, NC, LA and NH G are going D and sonis OH and MT and same  with the Hf D anf Biden won the PVI last time 50/45

It's gonna be a 218/217D H 51/50 DS and 303/225 Biden D vote

It's hypocrisy that Rs think that Biden Approvals are 41% because Bush W had 47/51 Approvals in 2004 except it was 5% unemployment not 4% Biden is gonna win

Redban continues to post 41% Approvals and Rs didn't win WI and PA in 23 or 22 or MI, Johnson won barely on the heels on IAN but Evers won Reaffirm blue wall

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden already said he won't contest Red states, so what Obama said wasn't anything new, e said in his Email it's gonna be a 303/225 map 51/50 S and 218/217 DH and 50/45 and 65/60M Eday just like it was in 2012 OH and MT are gonna stay D just like KY, LA. NC and NH G due to home field advantage with 4 unemployment

Rassy as I posted the link has Biden at 47/51 the same as Bush W did in 2004 it was never gonna be a landslide that's why you don't seriously donate to ALLRED, Kunce or Ehr with these type of polls unless they are winnings

It's was always a 303 map just like in 22 when they had Biden at the same Approvals and we reaffirmed the blue Wall

Biden campaign is in PA just like John Kerry campaign was Trump campaign in Erie and even Fetterman won Etoe and not with Bob Casey Jr is Trump gonna win Erie because he can't come and campaign in Pittsburgh

We all want a landslide but all we need is AZ. MT and OH to get the Filibuster proof Trifecta , ME 2 is the only flip , because Angus King not Collins is on the ballot in 24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obviously, if Beshear is winning in red KY Biden isn't at 38 percentage pts Approval

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/ScottWRasmussen/status/1690053395451650065

Irrevelent Trump just charged again  Rs haven't won any races in 23 and will lose a Landslide in 24 Guarenteed now and HA is gone as a swing state


These Approvals would look right if Rs WASNT WINLESS IN 23 WI. PA, FL, OH, AND KY G 0/5

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy is a right wing media propping up Conserv he is no independent media he has been in Fox news multiple times and he is a right winger be advised of this

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So much for Redban Doomerville he has nothing to say since Biden is leading in  NH

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

QPac should not be considered serious

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The pundits are gonna keep it a 303 map scenario thru Eday they aren't gonna change their prediction beyond 303 that's the standard map but when we vote we can change it beyond 303 so look for red states to stay that way thru Eday and blue states to stay that way, because the red v blue divide is only changing when we vote

I just figured that out that's why the Approvals are just reaffirms the blue wall because the pundits want it that way, Biden isn't 37 percent on the Economy he is exactly where Bush W was in 2004 before Katrina with 5 percentage pts unemployment 48/51 like Rassy had it before not now he went back to his partisan trick's  as he appears on Fox news all the time giving his analysis

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ds overperformrned polls anyways Janet Protasisaweicwz was only supposed to win by 4 she won by 11 just keep in mind when you guys go so explicitly by polls and it's VBM, more Provisions ballots than usually

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is leading by 6 it's a disaster for the R party we won every swing state except IA, IN and WV that have no NAACP chapters ite a disaster for the R party Filibuster proof Trifecta, it would of been the same disaster in 22 Thune was losing, Niem, Vance and Stitt but they were saved by IAN but Rs got the wrong lesson from IAN Deregulation and tax cuts and Maui proves that people since Pandemic are reliant on Govt, Govt is the solution not the Reagan problem

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Rs are down 5 pts and down 45/42 on GCB that proves that voters don't want their tax cuts back and the tax cuts are expiring at the end of 2024 end the tax cuts for people making over 400K

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy is the most accurate one since the country is moving leftward back to 20 not rightward with IAN and 22 and Brown is winning , that's wave insurance, Johnson and Lombardo won, but Lake and Masters and Oz and Walker failed in a midterm not Prez race


The Final Bush W 2004 poll with 5 percentage  pts unemployment was 47/51 and Bush W won OH that proves my PT it's a 303 map with OH as wave insurance Ds overperformrned in the polls in VBM not underperforming , it's only 4 percentage pts unemployment


All the Rs wantta do is take credit for Biden economy and push thruore Deregulation like cutting students loans Forgiveness COVID is over but not Great Recession 2, Rs never run on growing the middle class except in 20 for stimulus checks
Rs aren't defeated Biden with 4 percentage pts unemployment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Harris X 52/48

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1694931151314366766?s=20

Biden getting stronger not weaker, OH went away from Rs because Sherrod Brown is leading by 13 LaRose is Josh Mandel and if PH is leading D, WI, PA and MI are leaning D that's why Baldwin, Slotkin and Casey will all win.bevause Brown is leading and we are gonna win TX, FL and MO S races

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All Biden has to do is hold CA, since Brown is winning it's over, it's VBM not same day voting more D Provisions ballots

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gallup is hogwash

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1695987586769059939?s=20

Biden Approvals 46/51 with 4% unemployment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Emerson 43/47

As I told Vaccinated Bear a long time ago it's gonna reaffirm the blue wall Bush W in the Final CNN poll with 5% unemployment was exactly where Biden is on Rassy 47/51 and he won OH, that's why it's a 303 map with wave insurance it is a 65/60M vote Eday 50/45 like 20 but if we win 70/60M and 52/45 it's wave insurance that what was going on in 22 Ryan and Beasley and Barnes were winning until IAN

Rassy is spot on Biden is at 47/5, he is a R pollster he had NV wrong but the Approvals are stable


Powell, Ehr, Brown, Tester and ALLRED and GALLEGO can get us to 52/45 Eday but as of now since Scott is up by 3 not 16 and Biden lost FL by 3 in 20, not 16 in 22, it's a 303 map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is leading in VA by 10 and 8 in NM the same as Biden win them states, in 20  as of now it's a 303 map and Rassy already has Biden @ 47/51 Approvals but we are looking for the blue wave Scott and Cruz, and Cruz voted for Neil Gorsuch whom overturned Affirmative Action are running in FL ahf TX inna D fav Prez Eday not midterm ALLRED abd Brown myst win

But Biden leading this early proves to Rs like Redban with the 303 map that he isn't Hillary 2.0 Rs always underestimate Biden Riverwalk said Biden is gonna lose Erie City PA andN lol Klobuchar is gonna win 55/45

A blue wave can happen with Trump being on Trial and Convicted by Nov 24

Biden ran with Obama in 2008/12 and win IN, MO, VA, AK, NC, FL and OH, that's why Mary Peltola does so well we won AK in an R midterm as Biden as Veeopin 2014  with Gov Walker ahd Begich win in 2008

That's why I have a nut map just in case , it's a blog and PRED not ratings maps I have LA and MS G D because Presley said he can win with Biden low Approvals and no MS G poll

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303 map but the Turnout if it's 70/60M or 65/60M will dictate the Eday Biden isn't truly at 40 due to fact we have to get to 50% anyways to win and he won last time 50/45

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hogwash Rassy we are leading in IL by 17 VA by 9 and NM by 8 the same as 20 he just had Biden near 50, he's an R pollster that appears on Fox news Bidek didn't go down 10 pts in a week or 2

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Doesn't matter it's tied poll it's a 303 map anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have noticed repeatedly in these threads of Approvals that Redban really believe in these polls and we won WI, PA andI already in 20/22/23 WI Rs lost by 11 and PA in Apr and May, does he knows that polls lie because they want you to pay attention to the Prez Eday as I said Redban is obviously new most users have been posting since 2012 and I have 2006 we know how polls underestimste Ds the only red waves were in 2000/02/04/10/14/16 we won 2006/08/12/18/20/22 already


Where is Redban Pred S 2012, he has none , polls aren't the end all be all we still have to vote and we Ds have superior VBM turnout than Rs in blue not red states and Biden is leading in IL 20/NM 8 and VA 9 and Rs need VA id they lose WI which won't happen Rs lost WI by 11 in Apr