Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hello

It is remarkable how much variance there is in polling here. Depending on who you ask, President Biden’s approval rating is either -20, -10, or dead even… has there ever been a president for whom we had such an unclear picture as to their position in approvals? Both Obama and Trump had relatively stable approvals after their honeymoon periods

—TerryG

Biden has a honeymoon there were 1400 stimulus checks he is at the same Approvals when he beat Trump in Nov 20 48

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rasmussen at 51/49 today for Biden lol. Think that may be their highest yet.

538 RV/LV average remains 44/52

As we get closer to Eday someone has to get 50 and it won't be Rs because they haven't gotten to 50 since 2004

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ Iced TEA NEEDS TO STOP COMING ON BIDEN APPROVALS AND SAY BIDEN IS AT 43)54 Approvals it's tiresome

WE ARE USED TO REDBAN BUT AZ ICED TEA ONLY COMES TO PT THAT STATISTICS OUT, GIVE IT A REST, RS LOST AGAIN

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol they keep polling his Approvals to make Biden look bad during the Debt Ceiling all the polls are showing voters prefer Trump economy to Biden which is false we won last Tues PA, and we won WI, we got into this mess with Trump tax cuts

Trump won't be ahead much longer once the Debt Ceiling is signed into law, but it looks like Biden is caving in work requirements not in Student loans Forgiveness

We know this is happening because Redban keeps boasting about how Trump is beating Biden but POS already had DeSantis beating Biden but Biden beating Trump in 303

The Debt Ceiling is close Freedom Caucus is gonna have to give up banning Student loans Forgiveness in exchange for stricter work requirements

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No one pays attention to Redban and constantly polls on Biden low Approvals we won last Tues Rs didn't

Filibuster scorecard Lean D AZ, MT, OH
Tossup MO and TX
Wishlist FL and WV

We have no nominee in FL and on Yahoo news it says Biden is still contesting FL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rasmussen was fake when it was 51/47 and it's fake now that it's 41/57 lol. We all know they cook the books whether they have good or bad numbers for Biden. There's no way that he went from a positive approval to like 42/56 in literally a few days.

They are polling just like Harris/Harvard and McLaughlin and ABC polls Trump 50% percentage pts in the primary so they are polling Trump ahead of Biden

If Trump is at 52/19 in Primary over DeSantis and Biden is 41/27 v Harris or RFK Jr you get Trump 52/47 over Biden in GE but it's the Rs that poll 47/52 percentage pts just like Biden won 50/45 v Trump in 20 Obama 51/47 201, the Rs only get 47 in Midterms or Prez since 2006 Ds get 48% inidterms and 50% in GE

But it's not a popular vote Election it's an EC college Eday


There is no way with Baldwin, Slotkin and Casey Trump is gonna win WI, PA and MI the reason why Trump won PA on 2016 Bloomberg ran ads against Hillary on behalf of Toomey and Johnson beat Feingold in 2016 we all know by now how Johnson over polls but he will lose in 28 ti Sara Rodriguez

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McLaughlin has Ds behind by 7 on GCB,and others have Ds+3 but as I said above it's not a popular vote Eday it's and Electoral college and no way are Slotkin, Baldwin and Casey LOSING

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Excluding FL Ds are looking at 52/48 S and 232 DH we have our Congress Lawler, Brobert, Santos, Garcia, Greene are gone it's no way Rs keep their majority come 2024 and if Brown wins OH and there is no DeWine on the ballot we clinch the S

Joyce Craig, Stein, Beshesr and Presley are gonna be Govs

Gallegos, Brown, Tester, WESLEY BELL, ALLRED, Alsobrooks, Barb Lee in a Runoff v Porter and Blunt Rochester

FL is a wildcard

I have a reason why pollsters aren't polling OH now than they were in 22 Rs aren't ahead because DeWine isn't on the ballot if Brown is losing he would be losing by 1 pt not 10 that's why Vance won,  Vance built a 10 pt leads and Oz built only a 5 pt lead and Johnson built an 8 pt lead based on IAN and were able to survive the 5 pt MOE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Suffolk out today with 40/54, RMG Research with 45/51.

538's RV average is 43/54.

Biden will win a 303 map the same as Obama 52/48 we won in 2012 Biden isn't at 40/54 be ause we won FL, WI and PA by 52/48 Margin and Slotkin, Baldwin, and Casey will win by 51(47 margin but I have endorsed Pamela Pugh she isn't Barbara Lee socialist, Barb Lee got a bump rap due to Max Waters that Karen Bass obviously didn't get a bum rap from it was a Mayor race Schiff is gonna win

We are competetive in MS, KY G races it's within 5 MOE and Brown is leading and Stein is only down 2 and ALLRED is within 5 and LA G is a Runoff that's 52/48 Approvals

MT, MO and FL are also wave insurance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Another reason why the Approval aren't stacking up with the State by state polls the animosity voters have towards Trump, with his Indictment they are polling the Approvals like it's a normal Eday and it's not that's why Conserv users think Rs still can win it's the energy that Ds have against Trump that's gonna drive a blue wave

That's the problem with the Approvals it's not a normal Eday

That's why you have Doomers but Brown or Beshear is toast because it's red Appalachian, Beshear won by 39 K votes and Brown up by two and Rs supposed to be 10 pts ahead like Vance and DeWine and they're not because IAN saved Budd, Johnson and Vance bacon they were losing before IAN

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Note: favorability, not approval, but didn't think it necessarily deserved its own thread

https://twitter.com/dellavolpe/status/1664599804847042560

+9 among 18-29 year olds doesn't sound too good, though. Do young people struggle to like him due to age? Biden is definitely way more modern and socially liberal than a lot of boomers are.

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Lol we are gonna have Eday again Nov 23 LA, KY and MS G the polls are very close in those states and LA G is going to a runoff they are just polls not results we already won WI, Pa and FL 52/48
Given the popularity of Bernie Sanders amongst this age group, I doubt it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Doesn't matter we still won WI, PA and FL and beat Rs in April and May Special because Trump is at 30)61Favs even lower and a poll in June 23 won't matter in June 24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I would advise Blue Avatars and Red ban that's it's Ukraine war fatigue that's driving  Trump lead  over Biden it's not the war itself it's the 8.7 rent prices and 4.50 gas prices they said in Feb gas prices would stay at 3.00

It's a 303 map anyways and Oh, NC and TX as wave insurance

We always get a rally around the flag Ds whenever it's time to vote especially VBM that's why they lost WI, PA and FL

65M people are impoverished

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Perhaps we've entered an era where it's impossible for a majority of the country to like the President. I don't think Biden has done such a bad job to where he warrants a 40% approval rating.

Lol we won WI, PA and FL in Apr and May 52/48 lol stop it with these 40% Approvals Redban only comes on when he can post bad polls for Biden a yr before Eday

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I mean, just take a look at "able to get things done." it's 38/61, despite the fact that objectively speaking, he HAS gotten a lot of stuff done. So there is more to these numbers clearly.

It's the War and Ukraine and Russia haven't left yet and it's causing Deficit ditch that's what's wrong

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I mean, just take a look at "able to get things done." it's 38/61, despite the fact that objectively speaking, he HAS gotten a lot of stuff done. So there is more to these numbers clearly.

Ppl are so cartoonishly uniformed on Biden’s presidency is ridiculous.

Redban comes on here and quotes Biden Approvals, Trump Approvals are 31 percent, it doesn't matter until we get into the Voting booth, the 303 states voted for Hillary but Gary Johnson spoiled it you never know what Joe Manchin a 3rd party candidacy will bring, but its very hard to see Biden losing WI, PA and MI because this isnt 2016 Rs had R Govs Walker, Synder and had R state legislatures, PA and MI state legislatures flipped in 22

As I Said all we need it 303 5 seats in the H CA-27, CO-3, NY 17, Santos seat,NJ -7 and MT and OH S to secure the Filibuster proof Trifecta we aren't winning 415 EC votes anyways

Thats in line with a 51/47 Obama PVI that he gotten in 2012 Gary Johnson ran in that EDay too and did very well in NM

The reason why its a blue wall map Biden has 50 percent Approvals in CA but in TX and FL they are 28, the border wall has been sold to Greg Abbott during Trump Prez he will campaign with Trump thats why Beto lost by 11

Biden has a 28 in TX, Trump is at 28 in IL and CA

The issue is WI, PA and MI Biden polls aren't exactly at 50 thats why they are swing states and 3 rd Party can give it Trump but we have D inc running in those states Baldwin, Slotkin and Casey are the Favs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Its not over either way Redban thinks its a Popular vote contests quoting Trump 6 and its an EC College Eday and POS has Biden ahead, its not over either way because Manchin is more likely to run No Party than lose by 30 to Justice, but Biden with 4 percent unemployment is still the fav until we vote, we won WI, PA in Apr and May and last yr in 22

i like No Party ideas it reminds me of RFK Jr Ds don't have a real primary, but Manchin is too right wing and Lieberman to win the Prez, if RFK ran it would be totally different maybe he might run in 28 for No Party I would support RFK in a No Party Label bid not Manchin

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I mean, just take a look at "able to get things done." it's 38/61, despite the fact that objectively speaking, he HAS gotten a lot of stuff done. So there is more to these numbers clearly.

My explanation is that Biden isn't present in the public enough. And when he is, the media takes pleasure in showing his gaffes. As a result, there's a general perception that he's old and tired and no longer up to the job.

its not that he isn't in public enough what is the next step outside of the Stimulus and infrastruction and jobs Act to get rents and inflation down and there is an infinate war in Ukraine, but Rs control the H and they aren't interested in more programs

We need more Section 8 vouchers because migrants Asians, Arabs and Latinos especially in CA are on Section 8 there aren't any Section 8 vouchers in any major city

Rs think they can keep taxes low on the wealthy they cant we need more stimulus programs not just stimulus checks and states are still handed out stimulus just not rental assistance anymore

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not even time to vote yet the future Eday is in LA, KY and MS G and it's the same 393 map as in 22 8 MNTHS ago when they had Biden at 41

It's Ukraine War fatigue because Gas prices aren't 3 they are 5 they aren't 6.50, just like it was War fatigue in 22 due to inflate gas prices

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 303 map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These Big Village and especially You Gov surveys get the state by state numbers they ask for you zip code that's why Biden is leading 52)42 v Trump and Brown 40/38 on Dolan

They don't ask directly on the survey but they ask indirectly on you zip code if you want a stimulus check that's your stimulus, 330 Swagbucks is 3.30right there until they pass reparations and they will Kruger, Childs, DC statehood are gonna pass with Voting Rights with Gallego not Sinema in S which should of been passed last yr when Barnes and Ryan should of won they lost by 5

I said Biden isn't losing WI, MI or PA unless a Marist poll comes out and MQK just polled WI Rs are underpoll as usual without Ron Johnson on the ballot and Mike DeWine in OH that's why Brown is ahead 2012

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Brown is leading Dolan in swing state OH and all the Rs keep saying that since Ryan Lost OH is Safe R no it's not Rs won last time because of IAN, DeSantis is failing because there is no IAN

It's VBM anyways since 20 Ds have overpolled VBM Rs haven't won a single VBM Eday as I said we outvoted Rs 65/60M anyways because 65M are impoverished

FL isn't safe R Scott has a net Disapprove rating like Cruz they haven't even polled FLORIDA and Deegan won

I already know Ds are gonna win there is no IAN Johnson and Vance had 40 percent Approvals were losing before IAN and Johnson win by a 1 pt after IAN Barnes has nothing to be ashamed about Trump is down 10

Biden being impeached even Lindsey Grahams said it will boost his Approvals Redban posting Biden low Approvals is TIRESOME ALREADY

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

40% approval / 55% disapproval

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/kpnwbn3sup/econTabReport.pdf

Lol Biden is up by 10 in WII and 5 in PA due to Trump Approvals not just Biden

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Blue avatars still underestimated Biden they lost to him as Veep 2008/12, and 20/22/23

It's Trump too he raised 35M but Biden is raising that much and more from Union dues that we pay out of our checks

303 map anyways as I keep saying wave insurance is at the end but Brown is leading Dolan because DeWine isn't on the ballot

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Alot of the low Biden Approvals are due to Inflation but Ds lead on the GCB 46/44;like last time except there is no IAN and Rs underperforming in WI, NV and OH without Laxalt, , John'son and DeWine

A blue wave as I said isn't 60/40 but Obama got 52/46 with Biden 2008/12 won OH, FL and AZ and GA are gone already and we already won FL, WI and PA 52/48 which there can be a 52/46 result Romney and MxVain and Trump got 47

Pbower said with 4 Percentage pts unemployment add 7 to Biden Approvals you couldn't do that for Trump we had 9 percentage pts unemployment not 4

Laxalt overpolled in 2018 for Gov and he still lost in 22


There is no way Biden wins NV 45/42 but 51/49 like 2020 he will

NV is always close Trump Casino in IN and Vegas and he has playboy in Los Angeles

But NV isn't R like 2004 is solid D