Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Again for the record Biden is not at 44% if he is leading Trump 49/45 this is the same QU poll that had Biden at 33% Approvals last yr before Eday


The same 44% Approvals that Real clear and Trafalgar had to get 53R S and 230 RH

I told you a wave is 54 S Sears and 230DH at end of 24 it's a blue wave anyways AZ, NV, NM, and CO due to Maricopa county is leaning D it was an R county under McCain

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We are so back

Wait for the recession.

LoL there is not gonna be a recession it's 4% unemployment do you know where Obama was April 2012 he was 48/51 behind Romney there are 2M job openings in Drive for hire

Trump says DeSantis is Romney why did he win by 20 pts because it was a mirage just like Bush W had a mirage after 911 and Desantis ran with Cuban Rubio he underpolls with Scott that's why Rs are only 7 ahead in FL no Rubio this time

Users need to look at how many yellow school bus driver position there are ONLINE and Truck Drivers

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We have to target FL, MO and TX now since Tester got slammed with an ethics complaint ala Steve Walsh it's not as bad as Walsh but Walsh was a Gold Star vet like Tester and he had Plagerism, 7 pt lead in FL isn't over just like 7 pts in MS, and Boswell and John Love whom are gonna be the nominees aren't known to voters, that's why Tester polls cratered all of a sudden

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Whoever said TX was more in play than FL is flat out wrong the last time QU polled TX it was 15 pts for Abbott over Beto and Emerson just polled FL and it's tied


See how polls lie and they have Presley down by 7 and it's 7 mnths that University of Northern FL is still a University polls, we still have to vote

I rather have RFK Jr than Biden because whatever wave we have would be bigger without Hunter but there is still a chance that we still get the Secular Trifecta, because taxes on the rich have to be raised Bush W caused the Recession to get worse Gore said keep 40 rates on rich lower rates from 25 to 15 pn poor people, so whatever RS say that Clinton caused the Recession after 911 is wrong

RFK JR OR NEWSOM would be an improvement than Harris is 24 she maybe Veep but she isn't Prez material

SC IS STILL IN PLAY WE ARENT GETTING 415 TX GOES R IN THE BEST CASE SCENARIO

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a blue wave RS are going after Hunter Laptop it has no effect because Trump crimes are much worse and they won't Legislatures they said they are gonna go for more seats in the H hogwash when Biden is beating Trump and Desantis, it's a blue wave what happens when we get the Secular Trifecta obstruction McConnell can't do do anything this was supposed to happen in 20 or 22 we are 4 yrs behind Ryan and Beasley were so close and Barnes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's over for RS we will win up to 230H seats and win OH, AZ Gallego and Tester or Kunce wins for 51(50 S but MO, MT, WV, FL, TX is the tie breaker

Trump will be indicted and civil and state Prosecute is not protected by a Pardon anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ugh, I guess it's an outlier:

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1638924576645079041

Do you know where Biden polls were when he was at his lowest in 2022 Jan when he wanted Voting Rights it was 41% in Rassy he is at 47/50 in Rassy, it's 20 mnths but voters want change and Change benefits D's not RS because gas prices are 3 not 7 take all polls with a grain of salt

As always we still have to vote and QU had Biden in a poll that he leads Trump at 39/55

How can he be losing support from 22 and it was a low turnout midterm and Prez dynamics have higher D Turnout

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Furthermore, we shall find out, how Ds will do next Nov 24 when these 3 red state Govs if they don't sweep them they are gonna be in trouble they have to sweep to prove they can win the S and keep the H, but Beshear is overperform

The J6 Investigation is having an effect we must remember McCarthy stopped the J6 Investigation so RS believe the red wave is back no it's not, unless they sweep the Govs in 23 and that proves they still can't win 303 all the red states Govs are R 22 pts

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

IA, FL and OH and NC are trending D Reynolds isn't 60 percent anymore she is at 50/46 because she only won by a landslide because of Grassley, just like Vance and DeSantis won because DeWine and Rubio won by 25 forget the Approvals Biden is leading Trump and Desantis in a QU poll 50)47 Average it's probably will be DeSantis he is tied in IA and NH but he is vulnerable because he hasnt been put on record that he supports 20 percent rate cuts he voted for in the H with Speaker Ryan he will lose on that guarantee

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We are gonna find out in Nov 23 after the Debt Ceiling how aDs will do in 24 the RS have to sweep them to have a chance to beat Biden but that's holding the Red states not 303 but Beshear and Stein are gonna win so Approvals are meaningless

Trafalgar had Biden at 40 percent and said Waltz, Grisham, Warnock, CCM and Fetterman and Kelly were gonna LOSE, that's your 39 percent Approval

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said we are due for a 2008/12 type wave eventually the country is moving left not rights that's why Rs even in Gerrymandering only got 222 seats not 230 women split 50/50 and when there are blue waves 55/45 white females are poised to vote D's this is the first Prez not Midterm post J6 that's why it's more likely to be a blue wave and Trump not Desantis will be the Nominee Try.p is likely to lose IA, NH, NV, FL and CA and Trump up the score in Deep S if DeSantis even runs but Pence is probably gonna run too

Docugate is a factor because Hunter Laptop came after 2014 so users saying Obama won a landslide without is factually incorrect, segregationist, Tara Reade and Hunter Laptop came post 2014 after Crimea Hunter got money from Ukraine, Romney and McCain would of used Tara Reade against BIDEN

Again Docugate isn't much of a factor due to J6 , clearly of Trump just had Russia Collusion and Stormy Daniels like he did in 2016 he would have an easier time beating Biden but he has J6

Approvals don't matter Biden is 48/50 I'm Rassy all an inc needs to be at is close to 50 he is tracking the same as Obama was April 2012 and 2012 was a landslide and polls underestimate blk vote that's why Oz< Walker, Laxalt all lost their 5 pt leads and if Brown and Tester are down they aren't that much down Tester is only down 46/41 the blue wave hasn't happened yet try Oct 24

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Among RV:

YouGov/Economist: 45/52 (-7)

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/nr7yjreihl/econTabReport.pdf

Marist: 43/50 (-7)

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/biden-the-issues-facing-the-nation/

What's causing the recent drop again?

Noise? I mean this is basically the average.

No it's not noise it's because there is no Debt Ceiling Biden like Trump is still being investigated but Trump is criminal and civil and Biden is impeachment watch a sitting Prez can't be indicted and we have the 303 but it's about wave insurance that's why Ds are favs to control the H and Dogs in S because H goes thru Blue wall and S goes thru OHIO but Brown can win because DeWine isnt on the ballot

Biden was at 44 percent in MSNBC polls on Nov 22 and we know Docugate was kept from us before Eday, but RS still have J6

I keep saying this there is no red wave because we won the blue wall at Biden 44 in 22 we failed to win OH, NC and FL S and WI S but won WI G that S019 wrongly PRED PA, WI going R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Among RV:

YouGov/Economist: 45/52 (-7)

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/nr7yjreihl/econTabReport.pdf

Marist: 43/50 (-7)

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/biden-the-issues-facing-the-nation/

What's causing the recent drop again?

Maybe him stabbing young voters in the back on Alaska drilling and tiktok in the span of two weeks?

yeah I'm really not sure how dems are unaware of the political costs of the whole tiktok thing

if they actually go through with it, it will do serious damage

They can't ban it because of the Filibuster in the S and the RH won't pass, but since RS won't talk about the Debt Ceiling they are spending millions of dollars on Hunter Laptop and J6 and banning Tic Toc

LoL the wave isn't gonna happen until Late October anyways when it becomes official that Trump is the nominee not DeSantis and Desantis will get crushed in the Deep S as soon as SC not IA and NH votes like Romney and Huckabee did in 2008 against McCAIN


All these RS jumping on the DeSantis ban wagon he isnt a Conserv like Trump is he is from the Paul Ryan and Romney wing of the party that's why he will lose the Deep S

That's why I refuse to watch CSPAN until they hold hearings on the Debt Ceiling

When Trump becomes the nominee a Landslide is plausible

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Forumluker come this thread and says that D's are doing bad but clearly Trump is gonna be the nominee not DeSantis and that is good news to Ds he won't be able to use Hunter Laptop against Biden since he has the J6 insurrection

Approvals are meaningless now they aren't that important

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Back to 49/49 on Rasmussen. Haven't had any new polls that cover the Trump arrest yet.

For some reason Rassy has both one of Biden's approval rating, yet he's polling weaker for 2024 compared to other outlets.

It's phone polls, not internet polls he is also an R pollster, that UNDERPOLL the blk vote, like Trafalgar did in PA when they had Oz winning, that's why you get goofy Ipsos poll 38/61 Biden Approvals, he get stronger Approvals from both Biden and Trump but there is no way Trump beats Biden if Biden is already at 49 anyways if an inc is at 50 it's over, Bush W was at 49/45 like Biden in 2004 and Beat Kerry

That's why I say it's okay to make a wave map if we get 81/74M like last time it's gonna be better than 303 because we are gonna win Congressional races in OH Greg Landsman, Kaptur, TX , NC Jeff Jackson, KS/MO Sharice David's and AK Mary Peltola all except FL and win with NY, WI and CA by larger than 22 numbers, we lost 8 seats in the H in 20 and we aren't gonna win WI, MI and PA, GA, AZ, NV by 50K more like 51/47, with Brown on ballot Landsman and Kaptur should win by 8 not 4, that's why with Brown not Ryan in a Prez yr is Lean RD

Trump overperform pre J6 he gave out stimulus checks in 20 1400 and now RS are against every entitlements because of Debt Ceiling and SSA is going broke in 9 yrs taxes on the wealthy has to go up😃😃😃

That's why Schumer is measuring the drapes with Filibuster reform Kunce can win Hawley isn't gonna break 60% like Schmidt did he is gonna be within MOE like he was against Claire McCaskill, 51/45 Rev Barber said Frontline is AZ, OH, MO and then TX, MT and then as last resorts WV and FL Sen

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is tracking near 50 in Rassy polls as I said before it's a 303 map but Kaptur, Landsman, TX, Jeff Jackson, Sharice Davis and Mary Peltola are gonna overperform their 22 numbers and 20 numbers just like Golden is gonna help D's win ME 2 and CA, NY, WI, MI that's why it's a 380 map we should make up for all our lost ground in all swing states except FL, even IA 3 will flip back D Grassley has 60/40 Favs like Rubio does, that caused RS to overperform in IA he did the same thing in 2016

Johnson doesn't have those Approvals he lucked out with DeSantis bump we are tied already in CO 3

It's easy to side with the rich it's hard that's why Rev Barber said a 380 map with Reparations is a Reconciliation and Fox news is over with defamation with Robert Murdock

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Inflation is going down the only thing is War in Ukraine which Trump was his fault he conspired with Putin to destroy Hillary campaign and didn't get accounted for he was PREZ, we are overperforming from 2022 we won WI by 11 and Casey leads by 17, all signs point to a blue wave Filibuster proof Trifecta , Biden is never gonna be at 60 percent again, all we need Biden is at 50 percent , which he is Trump never was this close to 50 percent

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Given polarization I'm starting to think we may not have a President with >50% approvals for a while, Biden had it until Afghanistan, Trump never had it, Obama had it for half his Presidency

We win WI by 11

People are dissatisfied with the direction of country but Approve him as PREZ

Do you know what Biden is tracking in Rassy tracking polls 50 percent the under 50 Approvals aren't his Approvals they are really the right track wrong track number, Gallup has him at 40/58, Obama barely win reelection 51/47, and Biden won 20 50)45, RS have never reached 50 in a Prez race since 2004 and all got 47, case closed

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden's approval has been static (43-44%) since Christmas, I doubt any movement is actually going to happen barring a major event.

Yeah and you keep saying the same thing and you guys lost WI by 11 lol the Blue wall is safe you guys lost 22 too

If you guys won 22 and won 53 S seats and 240H then I can see your point but you guys keep losing its the samething Fox is being sued over that RS won it's no difference

What are Trump Approvals 25/61


It's a 303 map the RS haven't cracked the blue wall since Trump upset Hillary in 2016

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

LoL you post the samething all the time we are abead of Trump and we just won WI by 11 Rassy has him at 48/50 it's a 303 map

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Everyone knows Approvals aren't the end all be all we still have to we aren't gonna lose the Blue wall with RS J6


We only need 270 but we need Wave insurance to keep the S and TX, OH, mo have blk person in them and WV is gone for sure, so of course we are targeting those states but white Females are the swing vote not men and Biden still has Hunter Biden laptop and he hasn't been cleared Trump has J6 which doesn't play well in blue states but Hunter Biden laptop plays well red states


Progressive don't want Biden he is DLC WE WANT RFK THE D PARTY WANTS BIDEN

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is gonna face more indictments in the future it doesn't matter what Biden Approvals are its a 303 map and Trump isn't winning with a trial going on in mix



They are all crock D Establishment wants Biden with Hunter laptop and progressive wave RFK but we will settle for Biden due to Filibuster proof Trifecta

Teddy Kennedy lost because independent voted in D prim for weakest Carter like independent are voting against DeSantis in R prim no real D primary

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You fail to post Rassy tracking polls that clearly shows Biden at 50 if we we were 40 percent like Obama was in 2010/14 Janet Protesiewicz would of lost by 11 not won by 11 and Rassy polls show an improvement of 6 PPP ts from midterm Biden at 44 and now he is at 50

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/prez_track_apr21?fullbrowser


Here are the correct Biden number

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Again, Biden is tracking 50 it's impossible to be at 43 as we get closer and closer to Eday someone has to get 50 and we have gotten 50 more than Rs in Prex, Rs haven't win since 2004

Chuck Todd says it's a 303 map anyways I think Brown and Gallegos win 51)37 and we win wave insurance TX is at 43 for Rs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The same YouGov/Economist poll that has Biden at 49/49 approval also has Trump's favorability at 48/51. Make it make sense!

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/wo8h43uvsg/econTabReport.pdf

The NY indictment has faded but Trump is gonna get indicated and Biden has run no negative ads against TRUMP