Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We all must remember that Biden won FL, OH, NC, IA in 2008/12 with Obama, we are gonna keep both Houses

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

NC is the tipping pt, it gives D's 52 seats with or without GA, given the House stays D, and possibly more seats

Trump overperformed in OH, FL and NC, given Miami, Mahoning County and CUNNINGHAM scandal, before the Insurrectionists

Mahoning County isn't gonna vote R again and Miami isn't gonna vote only 10 pts for Ds

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

PPP just released show ACTON leading Mandel, go Acton

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Users are having a hard time coming to grips that D's are leading in an Ohio poll they really think blue collar states like WI, OH or IA are rock solid R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Whitmer is gonna be Reelected, the wrong track is a direct contrast to the You Gov poll that most believe we are on the right track

As long as there is Covid which the Feds can't do anything about but contain it, there is gonna be discontent, but the election is 600 days

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump remains polarizing as I suspect, DeSantis only beat a Dem socialist, he isn't gonna beat Biden and hopefully Crist can mount a good campaign against DeSantis next yr

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Approval map is too Fav red towards D's, D's aren't gonna win TX

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Approval map is too Fav red towards D's, D's aren't gonna win TX

Is it just me or do you switch between being insanely bullish on Democrats (Ohio going blue in 2024 for example yesterday) and having average predictions every few days?

.Even D's are frustrated that we are still stuck with Covid and blame the person in the WH for problems

But my track record is clear of all the endorsements I made

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well it looks like these polls are correct DeSantis is now tied at 45, he is on track to lose

He only beat a Socialisic AA in Gillium, that's not a big deal

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden said today if the Rs don't make the gains that they are supposed to make 15/30 House seats and net the Senate there might not be an R party anymore. They will be the pernament minority with DC Statehood

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Popularity of Biden surges after 1400 even red states like OH, IA, NC and FL like them that's why Acton and FL are competetive and they supposed to be slam dunks for Rs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There is some buyers remorse in the part of Electing Biden due to the continued outbreak of Covid but as long as he keeps extending Stimulus, which includes 1400 and Unemployment it makes people feel.better

But, Biden is going to Infrastructure spending, where 700K people just filed Unemployment and he acts like there won't be another Stimulus bill since he passed the 1.9 T.  

That's why Rs still have a chance, a small one to take over Congress

There needs to be more stimulus spending instead of an infrastructure project, they should be working on Appropriations Bill

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wait until the Fall when Unemployment has to renewed, he is getting ready to spend 3T on an infrastructure bill, that isn't needed right now and 700K people just filed for Unemployment

Where is the blue ribbon Commission on Jan 6yh Pelosi you promised us we have heard nothing, what happened to Trump being Prosecuted we have heard nothing

The Election is 500 days, I am not saying that D's won't win, there is small chance that a rosey map is not inevitable

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The battleground has always been WI, PA and MI, wave insurence seats are not inevitable and it's a chance that D's might get to 51 Sen seats short of the 52 seats that are required to break Filibuster, with a narrow Majority in the House

Due to buyers remorse that Covid isn't over with, in the South, it was always that chance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We already know it's not that much above 50, the Ds are fulfilling alot of what they set out to do about the blue ribbon commission and Prosecution of Trump, it's not 60%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I never got excited over an infrastructure bill, Obama was supposed to build Speed rails in 2014/ never happened, Politicians must realize pet projects are gonna have to wait until after Covid due to Unemployment which is now a UBI program due to fact most people are on extended benefits not 1 yr base

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said in a previous post, D's are gonna resurrect the freiwall, but they making a mistake not going after Trump and a blue ribbon commission on Insurrectionists, they are ceding that ground to the Rs, it's not over yet 2022/ small chance that Rs can win and it's not gonna take much to flip the House, Approvals aren't gonna last forever

They haven't had any hearings on the blue ribbon Commission on Insurrectionists or we haven't heard anything from Garland about Prosecuting Trump and he said he was going to

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These Approvals are too rosey right now.

WI, PA, NH net positive

GA, NC, FL, TX arent bright red, IA is definitely not light pink, D's have a small chance in IA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fine a 2.5 D slide is probably realistic or D+3 in Senate and narrow House majority but a D+5 or 8 is probably unrealistic at this time due to Covid is choking the Economy

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Probably a 53/47 Senate is the best we can hope for, but I am becoming bearish on D's chances, since there are s no end in site concerning the Covid crisis, but a D+3 Election is the best we can hope for

But if the blue ribbon commission on Insurrectionists would start, the Ds can start pulling away again, but Pelosi has botched things up again

We haven't heard a peep out of her

I am worried that 5 D's in TX will lose their seats in TX handing the House over to Mccarthy

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Do y’all not understand Biden could cure cancer, make America the best place to live in the World, and build a giant railway that serves the coasts and still would lose in the midterms. It’s not about policy, Americans are too stupid for that. Heck, Americans are too stupid to even vote based on their pocketbook.

Biden was handicapped by the tied Senate not winning ME and NC and using the GA Runoffs as wave insurence hurt his agenda, the Filibuster would have been broken

But, even if the Rs rule, Covid is still gonna hurt whomever is in charge

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No one said D's can't resurrect the EC battleground in the Senate but TX and FL are netting seats in the House and TX and FL alone, Rs can take the House even if D's keep the Senate

As for Senate, we were promised a Supermajority Senate in 2020 it never happened, KS MT, ME, NC and. TX same as OH, NC, FL and MO. They only polled OH to get donations not WI

Rs are starting their QANON support again and Pelosi has said zilch about the blue ribbon Commission and we have heard from GA Prosecution of Trump we haven heard anything from Garland about Obstructing Justice of Trump

That's why 2022/, despite Biden Approvals in a Covid Environment can be an R wave, but we have 500 but Covid cases are going up


I remember Landslide Lyndon, who said D's was gonna have a Supermajority Senate and that theory was debunker, he is gone

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/1376880725375516680

POTUS Tweet incoming: "MASSIVE SUCCESS in fighting the China virus, also referred to as Kong Flu. Thank your favorite president (me). Highest approvals at start of term, much higer than "O". THANK YOU, WORKING HARD!"

Ops, I forgot, that was the previous dude who was voted out and got banned on Twitter.

Then poll the Senate races we have seen only one poll from OH, and no polls from PA and WI, Amy Acton is fantastic but we want to know about WI and PA too

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's probably will have a D+3.5 Election, that's enough to get 53 Senators and hold a narrow Majority in the House but we don't know what TX will do and Warnock is probably gone next and D's win either NC or OH along with PA, WI and NH

A D +8 Election with. supermajority Senate winning IA, FL and MO isn't in the cards, landslide Lyndon told us this in 2020, not

We were told this last time

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

A 52 percent approvals is very close to 52/48 Senate majority, we aren't gonna have a Supermajority Senate, we were promised that last time.

Covid cases are escalating and it's gonna have an effect on our House and Senate ratings

North Carolina Yankee already said don't expect a rosey Supermajority Senate and 230 H for Ds

If the PVI is close to last time 3.1 we still may lose the House, but it's gonna be very close either way