Change Research: Biden +2 in AZ, Biden +3 in FL, Biden +4 in MI, Biden +3 in NC, Biden +2 in PA... (user search)
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  Change Research: Biden +2 in AZ, Biden +3 in FL, Biden +4 in MI, Biden +3 in NC, Biden +2 in PA... (search mode)
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Author Topic: Change Research: Biden +2 in AZ, Biden +3 in FL, Biden +4 in MI, Biden +3 in NC, Biden +2 in PA...  (Read 1559 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,363
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« on: July 29, 2020, 06:40:55 AM »

So, Biden wasnt ahead in TX as the other poll said he was by 2, OH and IA would flip before TX, anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,363
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2020, 07:18:18 AM »

So, Biden wasnt ahead in TX as the other poll said he was by 2, OH and IA would flip before TX, anyways

There are no TX numbers.

No there isnt, but Cornyn has been consistently ahead of Hegar by 5-6 pts and TX voted last time by 5 to 6.

As I said before, it would be an upset to win TX, but Ds are on track to win a 50 split Senate and 278 map. With a small chance of a rally around the flag Red wave, if there is a Hunter Biden Ukraine report by Late October.

Covid 19 was the D October surprise that came in March, we dont know the R Oct surprise is, unless they release a Ukraine report,  they say they are
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,363
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #2 on: July 29, 2020, 11:43:30 AM »

LOL Change Research. The state numbers literally make zero sense with a 9 pts national lead.

Biden isnt really up 9 pts in LV screen, only in RV screen when we get close to Labor day, it switches to LV.

Many of these polls they dont record third party candidates,  just like in 2016. Gary Johnson took enough support from Hilary to cost her states.

If you include 3rd party candidates, the lead gets smaller. NC isnt 12 points to Cunningham and Kelly is only winning by 2
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,363
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2020, 03:33:56 AM »

The gap is definitely closing as we are gonna see a gradual shift in polls, anyways when we go to the LV screen in October, Biden is still favored but there wont be anymore 10 pt polls and QU are gonna poll races that matter like WI and CO Senate where Hickenlooper is gonna be ahead by 4 pts and we wont see any CO or FL plus 13 numbers
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