I feel like MI and especially FL will be the two most important states this year. If Biden flips AZ/PA (which I expect him to, even if it’s by a narrow margin, although you could argue that MI might flip before PA) but holds WI/NC/GA/TX, losing one of FL or MI would sink his reelection even if he flips NH/ME. Since FL closes early and counts very fast, it shouldn’t take too long to figure out how the election will shape up (much like in 2012).
264 - 230 - 45
WI will vote D, Trump with a 2 point lead is hardly anything to brag about with 7 mnths out
