Joe Biden 2020 campaign megathread v2

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Warren would isnt offering anything, but the samething Sanders is offering, Medicare for all. The same trap that happened to her in July. She should talk about other things; otherwise, Joe is becoming the frontrunner, again.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

At least now Biden's candidacy can survive, even if he doesn't end up the nominee:

Biden throws his campaign a lifeline
A strategic retreat on super PAC funding could pay big dividends.

You know Biden is going on 60min and no other candidate is, this Sunday.  It would of been wise for Warren to do it, but she closed not to.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Primaries are pretty much over, Biden has solidified the AA vote and Harris support. Biden wins primary by Super Tuesday, when the South votes.  On the GE. He can coopt the millionaire tax and student loan forgiveness, by rescinding the top brackets tax cuts. GOP love to say it raises taxes, but Trump keeps coming back to Speaker Pelosi asking for more money for the wall. With more money, we can fund wall, with Trump unaffordable tax cut repeal, thus social programs, like student loan forgiveness won't be cut.  Also, Section 8 vouchers can be opened up again.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Primaries are pretty much over, Biden has solidified the AA vote and Harris support. Biden wins primary by Super Tuesday, when the South votes.  On the GE. He can coopt the millionaire tax and student loan forgiveness, by rescinding the top brackets tax cuts. GOP love to say it raises taxes, but Trump keeps coming back to Speaker Pelosi asking for more money for the wall. With more money, we can fund wall, with Trump unaffordable tax cut repeal, thus social programs, like student loan forgiveness won't be cut.  Also, Section 8 vouchers can be opened up again.

Nope it is more likely than not that Biden loses the primaries.

I dont see how Warren can lose the Southern primaries and win, even if she does win Cali, TX VA and FL will cancel her delegate lead. Survey USA had Biden ahead in Cali

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Primaries are pretty much over, Biden has solidified the AA vote and Harris support. Biden wins primary by Super Tuesday, when the South votes.  On the GE. He can coopt the millionaire tax and student loan forgiveness, by rescinding the top brackets tax cuts. GOP love to say it raises taxes, but Trump keeps coming back to Speaker Pelosi asking for more money for the wall. With more money, we can fund wall, with Trump unaffordable tax cut repeal, thus social programs, like student loan forgiveness won't be cut.  Also, Section 8 vouchers can be opened up again.

Nope it is more likely than not that Biden loses the primaries.

I dont see how Warren can lose the Southern primaries and win, even if she does win Cali, TX VA and FL will cancel her delegate lead. Survey USA had Biden ahead in Cali

You seem to forget the delegates are allocated proportionally.

That's only if Warren wins IA and NH. Biden is the only candidate leading Trump substantially in Ohio, in every QU poll, he has lead Trump in OH.  Hillary lost both IA and OH, due to WWC, Biden can very well sweep the primaries with wins over Warren in IA and NH and SC, due to his performance over Trump in GE. Warren may not win IA, its a tight race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes.  He can also lose.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden isnt gonna lose all three, IA, NH. Ca and NV have had all three frontrunners ahead. Warren and Sanders have to win all three to stay in, all Biden has to do is split and onto SC

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

About being strong on natl security and helping Obama kill Bin Laden in the raid. Has natl security experience with being close to Israel

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

About being strong on natl security and helping Obama kill Bin Laden in the raid. Has natl security experience with being close to Israel

This is no longer an asset in Democratic primaries (thank god).

^{I do realize who I'm arguing with, but I wanted to make the point regardless.}

Yes, it is, Hilary beat Sanders in 2016, based on being SOS. Both Hilary and Biden were there to kill Bin Laden

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Biden loses both Iowa and New Hampshire he won't be the nominee, this isn't 1992 the circumstances are totally different.

Did you see the polls today, Change Research is the only pollster that had Warren perform above expectations,  the Emerson polls show Biden in front.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is running ads now, whereas other candidates arent, he is back the frontrunner as his leads in SC, NV and TX grow

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yesterday's victory in KY, VA ratifies the fact that Biden is the best bet to take on Trump; as a result, Biden helped Obama carry OH, IA and Va in 2008-12 years. Hopefully,  this end Ernst safe prospects of holding onto IA, and have SEN-ELECT Greenfield. Bagel was wrong, Beshear did pull it out. But. CORNYN probably loses before McConnell

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden has campaigned for Dems during the 2008-12 wave years, but the Senate, even you get rid of filibuster,  is a Parliament, and Leader presides over the Senate; as a result, there is unanimous consent in rules. Dems will still need bi partisan support to pass legislation.  Biden recognizes this, but Bernie Sanders and Warren says run deficit

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's too many people, to have IA and NH as make or break states. They dont represent the country. I have already warmed up to Biden, due to fact he can win Appalachia; whereas, Warren isnt. Biden just received an endorsement from a TX black Congressman😎

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is just as gaffe prone as Biden, the two are similar. AA and Latino voters arent galvanizing behind Warren, and still galvanizing behind Biden

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The ongoing spotlight on Hunter Biden, is gonna affect Biden's standing in the primary, that's why Warren leads in some polls and other polls she doesnt. Biden still is being tagged with corruption

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As we go deep into the South, the South is gonna rebel against Pete Buttigieg and Warren due to LGBT, just like it did with Hilary, when SCOTUS was on the ballot in 2016; whereas, Obama said he wasnt defending, the Bill Clinton defense of marriage act.

It's sad, that in today's society, that LGBT is a problem for politicians to get elected

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Biden cant win in IA, which was his base state,  due to WC, he wont win the nomination.  He may win SC, a base state for him, but states like Va, NC, and TX will go to Warren. Blacks will learn to like Buttigieg and Warren.

The Citizens United and campaign issue go to the heart of the Ukraine corruption,  Hunter Biden, Stone, Trump were all apart of. GO Warren😍

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We dont know the domino effect of polling has on other states until the primary season begins. Of course Biden is doing well in polling, but when Trump starts his offensive on Biden, he will get Biden dirty and unleash ads on Biden like Clinton, about the corruption of Ukraine. That is what Veepstakes are for, Buttigieg has WC appeal as Biden, but other people should be considered as well

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Joe Biden has a Super Tuesday approach to the Primary, which is a GE strategy, but Warren and Pete will gain momentum after their 1st and 2nd place finish, in IA, NH and NV; as a result, after Southern primaries are over and Biden has to win North, again and loses California, Warren will have more delegates.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden and his agenda is Obama's agenda: permanent tax cuts for middle class, immigration reform, gun control, DC statehood, and campaign finance reform. Reform filibuster and he hasnt closed the door on CRT packing.

As a result, Medicare for all is a good sell, but homecare is the goal, than leaving patients in hospitals and nursing homes. That's why palliative care is being used more often these days for cancer and dialysis patients.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Dems condenced the primary so that Biden or the frontrunner will win on Super Tuesday. Early voting begins on the same day IA and NH votes, in the Super Tuesday states, so even if an insurgent comes out on top, Biden, will win the diverse states on Super Tuesday. Before, Iowa and NH voted in Jan, enough time for an insurgent

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Voters care about campaign finance reform, making middle class tax cuts permanent,  he shares the same goal as Warren, Buttigieg and Sanders. That's why every poll, has Biden resurgence now.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden wont make it to the GE because Warren and Buttigieg will stop him in the primary. No one has voted yet and we all assumed Biden was gonna win and Buttigieg and Warren can split states and stop Biden. Buttigieg can win IA and NH and Warren can win NV, MN and ME

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The WI poll is bad news for Biden, he supposed to be crushing Trump