Percentage chance of Democratic control of the US Senate after 2020? (user search)
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  Percentage chance of Democratic control of the US Senate after 2020? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Percentage chance of Democratic control of the US Senate after 2020?  (Read 1662 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,483
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« on: April 18, 2019, 09:27:29 AM »

45% chance with AZ and CO as possible pickups and NC/KY/TX. AL will be safe D should Moore get nominated
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,483
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2019, 09:35:45 AM »

Moore is polarizing
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,483
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2019, 03:46:28 PM »


Absolutely. But Jones is way too liberal for today's Alabama. It will be close, but in Presidential year Moore would be favored...

Stop driveling about insufficient moderate-ness. Jones could vote to the right of Jim Inhofe and he’d still lose a general election in Alabama.

Yes, if Harris or Bernie are the nominees who are very liberal and can only solidify the 279 blue wall; however, Biden, Beto and Tim Ryan can expand the map to IA and OH, with WWC voters that can get Jones over the top; as well as Kelly and Castro and Jeff Jackson
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,483
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2019, 01:15:00 PM »
« Edited: April 19, 2019, 01:26:19 PM by olowakandi »

It's a 45% chance of happening.  TX/KY/NC/GA +CO, AL and AZ will flip control of the Senate.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,483
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2019, 10:17:53 PM »

With Beto or Biden, Dems can secure TX/KY/NC/GA + AL, CO and AZ. Sanders or Harris it wouldnt be a sure thing
.
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