Predict Bevin's margin of victory (user search)
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  Predict Bevin's margin of victory (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
0-5%
 
#2
5-10%
 
#3
10-15%
 
#4
15-20%
 
#5
More than 20%
 
#6
He will lose (LOL)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 125

Author Topic: Predict Bevin's margin of victory  (Read 7178 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,411
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« on: January 19, 2019, 07:03:08 PM »

He wont win Beshear by 3
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,411
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2019, 10:24:59 PM »

9 months before an election and an incumbent is at 40% in the polls doesnt look good for him
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,411
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #2 on: January 20, 2019, 06:47:44 AM »

KY is known to elect statewide Dems like Grimes and Beshear who is in office already. They liked his father, who was a Beshear as well.

This is why Beshear will win.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,411
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #3 on: January 23, 2019, 04:20:01 PM »

The idea that an incumbent governor with such an abysmally low approval rating is safe in an off-year election just because he won under extremely favorable conditions four years ago (when Republicans were much more motivated than Democrats) is ludicrous. I think he’ll win, but it won’t be a landslide like this forum seems to think. "Safe R because Kentucky/polarization" is incredibly lazy #analysis, even by this forum's standards.

Beshear by 3 points
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,411
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #4 on: February 24, 2019, 09:13:33 AM »

Bevin is gonna lose
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,411
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #5 on: February 24, 2019, 04:50:36 PM »

We can be wrong, we arent pudits on tv forecasting predictions, we are bloggers.

Just like many predicted on here, R's would hold House, even past Oct, 2018
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,411
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #6 on: April 26, 2019, 08:56:20 AM »

Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,411
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #7 on: April 27, 2019, 01:21:30 PM »

MT and Xing are the only ones aside from blue avatars that think this race is Lean R. Bevin is not McConnell
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,411
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #8 on: April 29, 2019, 03:34:46 AM »

The state assembly in KY overrode Bevin's veto of a school tax hike, to increase funding for schools last yr. The state assembly was on the same page as Beshear

KY have voted for a Beshesr before and will do it again; eventhough, the Dems and GOPers are at arms length in tax cuts
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,411
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

« Reply #9 on: May 10, 2019, 01:20:18 PM »

Charlie Cook has this race as tossup for all the blue avatars. Beshear is gonna win, and the GOP state assembly, especially, on school choice, have been on Beshear's side.
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