Is the Republican party doomed on presidential level?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MIDTERMS are GOP favored and presidential years are Dem favored. 2020 Senate map is a duplicate of 2016, Ernst, Gardner and Tillis are vulnerable, while Dems defend NH & MI.

The 2018 election wont be a wipe out like 2010 or 2014, so it is conceivable if Dems lose power or retain power by winning Dean Heller seat and net losing a seat or two, for them to regain power in 2020.

Hilary Clinton has a favorable map in 2016 & 2020.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MIDTERMS are GOP favored and presidential years are Dem favored. 2020 Senate map is a duplicate of 2016, Ernst, Gardner and Tillis are vulnerable, while Dems defend NH & MI.

The 2018 election wont be a wipe out like 2010 or 2014, so it is conceivable if Dems lose power or retain power by winning Dean Heller seat and net losing a seat or two, for them to regain power in 2020.

Hilary Clinton has a favorable map in 2016 & 2020.

Hillary who? Are you talking about the same Democratic woman who pays her staff minimum wage? Surely no Democrats will vote for someone like that!  Why have an election if you're saying she's already the next president?

I gonna go out on a limb here, and say Hilary wins nxt Nov and Dems retain Senate in 2018, because Cruz, who is the GOP nightmare is the GOP nominee and circumvented Trump in Iowa. He forced a govt shutdown over Obamacare Repeal.  Hilary will win a hard fought campaign and win.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2007 was the D day for GOP, when immigration reform didnt happened under Dubya.

As long as earned pathway for citizenship is an issue, and GOP block collective bargaining like minimum wage increase, then the GOP are gonna continue to do poorly in NM, CO & NV, pathway to presidency

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All they have to do is flip Colorado, Florida, and Ohio and they've got the Democrats down to a mere 270, obviously the slimmest majority you can have. At that point, as Virginia goes, so goes the nation. And since we can't really project a long-term trend based off of two elections, that will be interesting.

Dems will win CO, NV, NM & Pa, they dont need Virginia

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course not. Even if Democrats influx of hispanic immigrants helps them for the first few elections, the second generation of hispanic immigrants will definitely not be as kind to the Democrats.

IIRC, polls have shown that 2nd generation Hispanics are even more Democratic than 1st generation ones

Republicans don't have much hope for getting above 35-40% amongst Hispanics except in rare occassions. That said they do need to shut their mouths on all the gaffes and such, because that is the difference between winning or losing Colorado and Florida.

Asians are generally a far more malleable group. Their support had the biggest shift from 2012 to 2014 going from the 20s to 51%. Granted, a big portion of that was turnout, but same dynamic applies to Hispanics and they maxed out at 37% I think. Which means that the GOP has a much larger number of winnable Asian voters than winnable Hispanics.

Jeb or Kasich would have won Colorado. But, that's not the case anymore, since Cuz is gonna be nominee.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2007 was the D day for GOP, when immigration reform didnt happened under Dubya.

As long as earned pathway for citizenship is an issue, and GOP block collective bargaining like minimum wage increase, then the GOP are gonna continue to do poorly in NM, CO & NV, pathway to presidency

GOP didn't lose in 2008 and 2012 because of immigration reform they lost in 2008 because Obama looked like the future and McCain looked like the past. I already wrote why they lost in 2012 in this thread.

Minimum Wage won't be the key factor of the Presidential Election.

Yes, it will, as Labor Unions are blue collar work as factories are the real work replacing some the old jobs like Postal work.  Trumka has no qualms over Castro as Veep, but dont want Kaine, about Fast Track

Unions want increase in minimum wages.

Dems will win Colorado, Nevada & Pa

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Unions paying 10.10 an hour are Teachers Assistant Unions, Bus Driver Jobs & some Postal Unions. Most Unions paying above that are government unions like Auto Unions that pay 16-20 an hour.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The point that I was making is Auto Unions is really the only union job, that outside of professional work, such as Doctor, Lawyer or Oil Rigger or even a teacher professional,  make sure their workers can afford one thing, a car, making 30 K a year.

Really, Doctors and Lawyers sue and do surgeries, alot of their load which is handled by nursing homes or paralegals. More lower skilled labor.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cali & HI have Filipinos that have a sizeable Generation X population. Due to the climate in those states. Others like Wa, OR & IL have Chinese, who have still alot of older adults.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Christie, who is Gov of another Latino state like NJ and co-opted the immigration reform, like Bloomberg did, moved towards Obama after Hurricane Sandy. As his constituents gravitated towards Obama. In a state like CO, which is the purple state of this election, plus Iowa, that is telling.