What will change from 2012 to 2016 (user search)
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  What will change from 2012 to 2016 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: What 2012 established swing states will change in 2016
#1
CO (Further D)		  
#2
CO (Further R)		  
#3
CO (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
#4
FL (Further D)		  
#5
FL (Further R)		  
#6
FL (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
#7
IA (Further D)		  
#8
IA (Further R)		  
#9
IA (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
#10
MI (Further D)		  
#11
MI (Further R)		  
#12
MI (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
#13
NC (Further D)		  
#14
NC (Further R)		  
#15
NC (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
#16
NH (Further D)		  
#17
NH (Further R)		  
#18
NH (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
#19
NV (Further D)		  
#20
NV (Further R)		  
#21
NV (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
#22
OH (Further D)		  
#23
OH (Further R)		  
#24
OH (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
#25
PA (Further D)		  
#26
PA (Further R)		  
#27
PA (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
#28
VA (Further D)		  
#29
VA (Further R)		  
#30
VA (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
#31
WI (Further D)		  
#32
WI (Further R)		  
#33
WI (Stay Roughly The Same)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 50

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: What will change from 2012 to 2016  (Read 4026 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,369
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« on: July 19, 2015, 04:44:33 AM »
All states remain roughly the same, NH, OH and Ia tilts more Dem than nation as whole. NC moves right, but remains a Battleground.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,369
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2015, 06:57:58 AM »
« Edited: July 19, 2015, 07:00:30 AM by OC »
Pa will not trend GOP.

But Dems should be able to win OH and Ia in addition to Va.

FL is a pure tossup too, since Cold War with Cuba is over☺
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,369
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2015, 07:50:21 AM »
FL isnt in the bag, Jeb suppose to have it locked down.

But, thats why Julian Castro should be picked, he can take away Jeb's natural advantage with Latinos. Until then, VP's are chosen, FL remains a mystery.

Bill Nelson surely thinks Clinton can win FL.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,369
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2015, 08:13:24 AM »
Cubans are the only vote down there, Obama did fairly decent job in FL with no natural advantage in FL aside from Blk vote.

But Dems can certainly excell in NV with the Mexican vote and NM, the two states Dems need.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,369
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #4 on: July 20, 2015, 07:35:11 PM »
« Edited: July 20, 2015, 07:44:06 PM by OC »
Yeah the 272 map is clearly Clinton's most likely option now, but that can change; rather quickly.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,369
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2015, 09:05:22 AM »
There wont be no duplicate map for sure now. And OH will probably lose its Bellweather status. As Hickenlooper or Castro are picked as VPs, as Clinton sure up the Latino states of CO, NV and Catholic state of Pa, enroute to 272-266 triumph.😍
 
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,369
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #6 on: July 22, 2015, 06:43:28 PM »
Bennet will get the highest vote percentage than most Dems running. And Hickenlooper won in a GOP wave. Dems are by no means gonna concede Latino enriched CO.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,369
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #7 on: July 23, 2015, 03:29:12 AM »
« Edited: July 23, 2015, 03:31:10 AM by OC »
I hope that doesnt happen. But if Biden were to jump in, he can win without CO and certainly win Va.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,369
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #8 on: July 24, 2015, 08:47:20 PM »
Yeah, dont forget the QU was off 3-4 pts from the Cory Gardner v Udall race, and he came close to winning.

You can look at QU polling for your source for CO polls and I will rely on PPP.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,369
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
« Reply #9 on: July 24, 2015, 08:53:26 PM »
Jeb is leading in Va in latest QU poll

Stay the same CO, Pa and Ia

Moving right OH
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