GOP CT Gubernatorial Primary

[ctrepublican512]

I'd say there is no clear indication of who will win. Boughton, Stemmerman, and Stefanowski have spiraled into negative attacks against each other. Obsitnik has had some pretty bad campaign blunders with his TV ads and campaign finance debacle.

[ctrepublican512]

Probably Boughton. Partially - because of party line. I would prefer more Rell-like pro-choice Republican instead...

Most GOP activists don't like him at all, that might reflect in the election. He hasn't been really campaigning and missed more than one debate at all, I'm guessing cause of his health. Out of the $1.3 million grant he got for the primary he spent $200,000 on an ad

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZReH4aC2E8

Don't think it was the best move and a lot of people were reminded of his health issues (even I forgot). I think it will be Herbst or Stefanowski, but Boughton definitely could get it. Vote is just kind of too split and his base of support isn't centralized

[ctrepublican512]

who care

Really the only question at the moment is: Who will be Lamont's running mate after the primary?

1. Ganim is running stronger than expected.
2. It's going to be Bysiewicz. She's facing a nobody's nobody.

It's funny how republicans think Ganim is so strong. He really isn't. Couldn't even find someone to second his own nomination at the convention. Granted I also remember when Republicans in CT were saying how they were going to win CT-5 because the democrat bench was weak. The republicans are looking much weaker in that race than the democrats.

sure he is, he's the long-time Mayor of the largest city in the state. Tons of Democratic votes there. Zimmerman has been doing a whisper campaign for her urban base to vote for Ganim. I think she can win her own race too. Lamont probably will still win but don't think it's a given.

[ctrepublican512]

who care

Really the only question at the moment is: Who will be Lamont's running mate after the primary?

1. Ganim is running stronger than expected.
2. It's going to be Bysiewicz. She's facing a nobody's nobody.

It's funny how republicans think Ganim is so strong. He really isn't. Couldn't even find someone to second his own nomination at the convention. Granted I also remember when Republicans in CT were saying how they were going to win CT-5 because the democrat bench was weak. The republicans are looking much weaker in that race than the democrats.

sure he is, he's the long-time Mayor of the largest city in the state. Tons of Democratic votes there. Zimmerman has been doing a whisper campaign for her urban base to vote for Ganim. I think she can win her own race too. Lamont probably will still win but don't think it's a given.

And why are you so sure voters in Bridgeport will turn out in a primary in August? Bridgeport had the lowest turnout of any town in Fairfield County in 2016. That's funny cus I've had Zimmerman's supporters speak to me and they never mentioned anything about voting for Ganim.

yeah, that's just B.S. about a "whisper campaign."

Ganim's PD letting a kid die on the street, followed by his incessant attempts (and pretty tokenizing) to draw away black endorsements have salted the earth for him among the activists who are pushing Eva...

Dem AG primary is looking pretty interesting too - 3 way race and only one of the candidates is sh*t!

Exactly. Most people I know who would vote for Ganim are pretty disgusted with the whole PD incident.

Right, forgot you know ever Democratic voter in Connecticut. All I'm saying is don't underestimate the city vote in CT Dem gov primaries. In 2010 everyone thought it was going to be close, I think Lamont even was polling ahead consistently against Malloy. From my perspective, the CT Dems are factioned urban vs suburban.