Probably Boughton. Partially - because of party line. I would prefer more Rell-like pro-choice Republican instead...
Most GOP activists don't like him at all, that might reflect in the election. He hasn't been really campaigning and missed more than one debate at all, I'm guessing cause of his health. Out of the $1.3 million grant he got for the primary he spent $200,000 on an ad
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZReH4aC2E8Don't think it was the best move and a lot of people were reminded of his health issues (even I forgot). I think it will be Herbst or Stefanowski, but Boughton definitely could get it. Vote is just kind of too split and his base of support isn't centralized