The 2022 map is worse for Republicans than 2018 was for Democrats (user search)
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  The 2022 map is worse for Republicans than 2018 was for Democrats (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2022 map is worse for Republicans than 2018 was for Democrats  (Read 2649 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« on: December 09, 2018, 11:28:55 PM »

Republicans will go into 2022 defending Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, and to a lesser extent Iowa, Ohio, Missouri, and Alaska.

They have virtually zero pickup opportunities.


Bolded are the only three with any chance of flipping. Rubio starts as Likely R...the Democrats in Florida seem to be awfully inept and Miami loves him. Georgia is NOT a Swing state.

Its heading there quickly. At the rate is going, its not hard to imagine a competitive senate race in 2022.

2022? It has a serious chance of being competitive in 2020 for both President and Senate.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2018, 11:48:42 PM »

Republicans will go into 2022 defending Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, and to a lesser extent Iowa, Ohio, Missouri, and Alaska.

They have virtually zero pickup opportunities.


Bolded are the only three with any chance of flipping. Rubio starts as Likely R...the Democrats in Florida seem to be awfully inept and Miami loves him. Georgia is NOT a Swing state.

Its heading there quickly. At the rate is going, its not hard to imagine a competitive senate race in 2022.

2022? It has a serious chance of being competitive in 2020 for both President and Senate.
s
But why?? Expanding the map in 2016 led Clinton to ignore key states. It doesn't matter if you win 270 votes or 400 YOU'RE THE PRESIDENT EITHER WAY.

GA was actually fairly competitive (Trump +5) in 2016 with next-to-zero investment by the Clinton campaign. It's not ridiculous at all to put resources into the state, especially with Abrams doing even better than Hillary did in the suburbs.

Dems shouldn't be focusing solely on PA/MI/WI/AZ, especially because that's a path that leads you with little margin for error. Putting resources into states like GA can pay dividends, especially because GA flipping could easily put it on the path of VA/CO with how inelastic it is.
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