FL-SEN (Mason Dixon): Scott leads among South Florida Hispanics

[ON Progressive]

I remember when Mason-Dixon had Romney ahead by 6 in the I-4 corridor (source: http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/national/tampa-bay-timesbay-news-9-poll-i-4-voters-back-romney-51-45/1258459) and then he lost the I-4 corridor by 6.

[ON Progressive]

Mason-Dixon is an atrocious pollster and people need to realize this.

Besides their poll in 2012 which had Romney up 51-45 in the I-4 corridor (he lost it 53-46), they had Mia Love up 12 that year in UT-04 (she lost), and had McCaskill only up 2 in MO-Sen (she won by 16).

[ON Progressive]

So if Scott is leading among Hispanics in Southern Florida, I guess Scott might win Miami or just do a strong performance there.

Scott isnt coming close to winning Miami.

Okay so maybe around 45 % for Scott in Miami.

Trump won 54% of Cubans in 2016 and still came nowhere near Hillary in Miami-Dade.

He actually lost Cubans 50-48 according to the Latino Decisions exit poll.

[ON Progressive]

So if Scott is leading among Hispanics in Southern Florida, I guess Scott might win Miami or just do a strong performance there.

Scott isnt coming close to winning Miami.

Okay so maybe around 45 % for Scott in Miami.

Trump won 54% of Cubans in 2016 and still came nowhere near Hillary in Miami-Dade.

He actually lost Cubans 50-48 according to the Latino Decisions exit poll.

But he won them according to the real exit polls and the precinct data seems to match them better. Latino decisions is an advocacy group known for fudging numbers

The real precinct data suggests the Latino Decisions exit poll was more accurate. If Trump got 54% of the Cuban vote, please explain these shifts in state house districts:
HD 115 (53% Cuban) went from 50-49 Romney to 54-43 Clinton
HD 103 (56% Cuban) went from 55-45 Obama to 59-39 Clinton
HD 111 (72% Cuban) went from 52-48 Romney to 52-46 Clinton
HD 114 (60% Cuban) went from 50-49 Obama to 55-42 Clinton
HD 118 (52% Cuban) went from 51-48 Obama to 55-42 Clinton

[ON Progressive]

So if Scott is leading among Hispanics in Southern Florida, I guess Scott might win Miami or just do a strong performance there.

Scott isnt coming close to winning Miami.

Okay so maybe around 45 % for Scott in Miami.

Trump won 54% of Cubans in 2016 and still came nowhere near Hillary in Miami-Dade.

He actually lost Cubans 50-48 according to the Latino Decisions exit poll.

But he won them according to the real exit polls and the precinct data seems to match them better. Latino decisions is an advocacy group known for fudging numbers

The real precinct data suggests the Latino Decisions exit poll was more accurate. If Trump got 54% of the Cuban vote, please explain these shifts in state house districts:
HD 115 (53% Cuban) went from 50-49 Romney to 54-43 Clinton
HD 103 (56% Cuban) went from 55-45 Obama to 59-39 Clinton
HD 111 (72% Cuban) went from 52-48 Romney to 52-46 Clinton
HD 114 (60% Cuban) went from 50-49 Obama to 55-42 Clinton
HD 118 (52% Cuban) went from 51-48 Obama to 55-42 Clinton

You should note that those areas have become much more black and puerto rican over the last few years. Also latino decisions claimed Trump only got 16% of the latino vote nation wide, county and precinct level data show that to be ridiculous

They literally quote precinct data in their PDF that backs up their data: http://www.latinodecisions.com/files/6514/7880/5462/PostElection2016.pdf