MO-SEN Missouri Scout: McCaskill +4 (user search)
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  MO-SEN Missouri Scout: McCaskill +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-SEN Missouri Scout: McCaskill +4  (Read 5271 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« on: May 13, 2018, 06:47:05 PM »

Why are people calling McCaskill lucky for Akin? I guess she is lucky that he ran, but McCaskill also personally picked him out to be her opponent. That's a lot more skill than luck to me. She spent millions to make Akin her opponent through a clever ad strategy. That's more than luck. She is one of the strongest campaigners there is.

I think she is both good and lucky, in all honesty. It did take luck for her to get Akin, even with the brilliant strategy to pick him out. Let's not forget he led in zero polls in the Missouri GOP primary.

Not only that, but McCaskill trailed in every single poll against Akin from March until the "legitimate rape" comments. She needed the luck of Akin making an absolutely horrific gaffe to pull it off.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2018, 08:57:15 PM »

Kander was against an incumbent in a R-favorable year with a R candidate especially suited to MO on the presidential ballot.

McCaskill is an incumbent in a D-favored year with an R governor who has been credibly accused (even the heavily R legislature admits this) of blackmailing a partner with threats of revenge porn sitting in the Governor's Mansion in Jefferson City.

Kander lost by 3. How exactly is McCaskill in a worse position?

Also, McCaskill is actually in a better position right now than she was at this point in 2012. She was actually losing in the polls at this time six years ago.
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