WI-SEN 2022 Megathread: Who stole my cheese?

[Politician]

New Marquette University Law School poll.

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/

Ron Johnson's favorability ratings are underwater 36-46. Asked if Johnson cared about people like them the Y/N was 39/50. Democrats are equally enthusiastic about voting as Republicans. This is definitely a race to watch. There were no head to head numbers.

In this environment, he's unfortunately still going to win by at least four or five points, if not in high single digits.

We don't know that. There is more to elections than the national presidential job approval numbers.

You choosing to ignore the evidence we have (election results, historical trends, approval polling, enthusiasm gap for Republicans):

[Politician]

As someone who watched the 2016 race closely (and has the mental trauma to prove it), Johnson was not a “generic R” then. He has always been really far right and said some really absurd things. He might be hamming it up a bit more this time, but he’s never not been awful. Much as I’d like to see him lose, these sorts of statements aren’t going to be enough to make that happen.

Right on the mark. Johnson has always been considered a "weak" candidate and been underestimated by this forum and others. "Swing voters" don't actually care about ideology, they care about perceived "authenticity".