KY Gov-Gravis:: Bevin 48% - Beshear 42%

[Politician]

This is like porn for IceSpear.

[Politician]

Republicans always poll about 10% less than their final results in Safe R states.

Gov. Kobach, Sen. Morrisey, Sen. Rosendale, and Gov. Vitter agree.

Trump is leading Warren and Buttgieg by 32 points in this poll, which is definitely believable. I don’t think they’re underrating GOP support, and Biden trailing by "only" 20 points in KY isn’t that implausible considering his double-digit lead over Trump nationally.

It’s not really about red states, but polls underestimate frequently republican candidates in states along the Ohio River, just look at OH gov 2018, IN Sen 2018, IN gov 2016, IN Sen 2016, KY gov 2015.... polls greatly overestimated dems candidates

Why is this the case? In WI/MI/PA polls were pretty accurate in 2018, it just seems to be OH/IN/KY/WV/MO that are problematic (and IN isn't even ancestrally D)

[Politician]

If Kentucky had the votes to defeat Bevin, or if Louisiana had to votes to re-elect Edwards, then Indiana would have had the votes to re-elect Donnelly, and Missouri would have had the votes to re-elect McCaskill. Face it, 2019 will be a Republican sweep of Gubernatorial Elections.

There will be yet another Atlas Forum crow banquet in November once Bevin wins re election.

Wrong!

[Politician]

Yeah If Beshear can't even lead in a poll that only has Trump up by 20 and McConnell up by 8 then he's screwed

The neolibs were right about Appalachia. Sorry I ever defended the region.

More scorchingly bad Hot takes.