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May 28, 2024, 08:55:07 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random Maps Here 3.0 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 178179 times)
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #25 on: October 28, 2019, 03:53:40 PM »

2008: Obama wins by as much as Nixon '72:

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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #26 on: November 13, 2019, 10:24:52 AM »

1996 with 5% swing towards Clinton.

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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #27 on: April 07, 2022, 07:37:07 AM »

2018 Midterms under President Clinton



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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #28 on: May 11, 2022, 11:17:00 AM »

2020 with reverse trends

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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #29 on: June 01, 2022, 02:51:30 PM »

Plugging actual results into 538's ye olde election calculator it had for 2020

Trump's undeserved wins:



Biden's wins:


They literally gave Biden a higher % chance of winning MS, MO, MT, and SC than they did Trump of winning MI or WI. Keep this in mind when you see election forecasts this cycle.
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