Which Midwestern State are Dems most wrongly overconfident about? (user search)
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  Which Midwestern State are Dems most wrongly overconfident about? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which Midwestern States are Dems most wrongly overconfident about?
#1
Wisconsin
 
#2
Michigan
 
#3
Ohio
 
#4
Minnesota
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 73

Author Topic: Which Midwestern State are Dems most wrongly overconfident about?  (Read 3966 times)
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« on: August 15, 2018, 11:53:59 AM »

They aren't "overconfident" about any of them. The actual evidence (i.e. special elections, polls, Democrats nominating strong candidates) contradicts your "red wave" narrative.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2018, 12:42:26 PM »

Probably the same Midwestern state they were "most wrongly overconfident about" in 2016. Don’t get me wrong, Walker is definitely in serious trouble and could certainly lose reelection, but I’m not at all convinced that he’s DOA or that WI is now back to being a blue wall state again or whatever. If Marquette confirms PPP's numbers, I’ll probably move it to Lean D, but we still have 2 1/2 months to go.


100x yep. The Dems haven't shown they've moved on from the "I care only about Milwaukee/Madison" mindset that had sunk them time and time again since '09.
It worked in the supreme court election.
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