PPP poll of WI-Gov: Evers (D) 49%, Walker (R) 45%

[Politician]

Fantastic news, freedom poll. Still toss-up, but closer to lean Democratic. Certainly not lean or likely Republican as some people and websites like RCP suggest.

Or Charlie Cook/Inside Elections/Sabato/CNN's lean R rating, Inside Elections seriously believes Walker is more likely to win than Baldwin LOL.

[Politician]

A poll showing a Democrat ahead in Wisconsin!? Ruh-oh, my mind model tells me that this must be wrong. Time to #UnskewTheBlue!

The Presidential and Senate race were off by 7% in 2016, and that's the only polling bias in Wisconsin that matters to me, so let's adjust this poll seven points to the right. Walker +3.

Now, the fact that Wisconsin is trending sharply to the right, and thus will be even more Republican-leaning this year than it was in 2016, if we ignore special elections which we should, means we can add another 4 points. Walker +7.

Also, Republicans are spending a lot of money in Wisconsin, and we know how much money means in politics, plus muh Walker/Ryan machine and muh THREE TIMES IN FOUR YEARS means that we can easily add another 5 points. Walker +12.

My mind model means Wisconsin is Safe R, and even if demographics aren't destiny in most states, they must be in this state. Walker +16.

There we go, everyone. Feel free to unskew Wisconsin polls ~20% in Walker's favor to adjust how strongly Republican Wisconsin is now.

Add another 4 points because Ron Johnson won in 2016.

[Politician]

Feingold 2.0. There's no indication anything has changed in Wisconsin since 2014/2016. Polls this far out mean nothing.

SUPREME COURT RESULTS

[Politician]

But...but HOW?! WI is a Republican stronghold!! All the pundits told me this race was Lean R bc muh WI GOP machine and muh Johnson/Trump and muh THREE TIMES IN FOUR YEARS!! Clearly a junk poll. A Democrat winning in Titanium R Wisconsin is impossible.

Democrats shouldn't even try to contest Wisoming, we all know Scott Walker is 100% unbeatable. Poll is leftist Madison propaganda.