House members that had close races in 2022 but are safer this year

[Progressive Pessimist]

All of these won by less than 53% and their re-election races seem to favor them as of right now:

Juan Ciscomani (R - AZ 6)
Frank Mvran (D - IN 1)
Zach Nunn (R - IA 3)
John James (R - MI 10)
Angie Craig (D - MN 2)
Greg Landsman (D - OH 1)
Val Hoyle (D - OR 4)

I would not be surprised if we saw a 218-217 Congress, either way.  I don't know if that's ever happened.  The one after the 2000 election was very close but it could be even closer this year.  This would probably give daily headaches to either party because just one special election could tip control over.

The only one I'll disagree with is Ciscomani. I expect Democrats to heavily target and invest there.

[Progressive Pessimist]

All of these won by less than 53% and their re-election races seem to favor them as of right now:

Juan Ciscomani (R - AZ 6)
Frank Mvran (D - IN 1)
Zach Nunn (R - IA 3)
John James (R - MI 10)
Angie Craig (D - MN 2)
Greg Landsman (D - OH 1)
Val Hoyle (D - OR 4)

I would not be surprised if we saw a 218-217 Congress, either way.  I don't know if that's ever happened.  The one after the 2000 election was very close but it could be even closer this year.  This would probably give daily headaches to either party because just one special election could tip control over.

The only one I'll disagree with is Ciscomani. I expect Democrats to heavily target and invest there.

It looks like it'll be then Kirsten Engel as the D nominee, yes?

I think she's running again, and will be nominated.