Can the NJGOP win post-Roe? (user search)
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  Can the NJGOP win post-Roe? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Can the NJGOP win post-Roe?  (Read 2812 times)
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 34,096
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

« on: June 18, 2023, 08:40:45 PM »

It will make things harder perhaps but Murphy ran partly on abortion in 2021 and it didn't seem to move anyone towards him. Maybe it will be different now post-Dobbs? But what complicates this is that New Jersey remains a state where Republicans still do well in off-year elections and Democrats turn out in smaller numbers. With our gubernatorial elections always being in the off-year of off-years, the New Jersey GOP will probably always keep it at least within the single digits depending on who is in the White House and opinions of the past administration. Will Dobbs negate that? Do New Jersey voters buy that a New Jersey Republican candidate will act against reproductive rights in spite of Democrats having a consistent lock on the Assembly and Senate? I sure hope for the latter but I don't buy it as a given.

All I know is that I hope Dobbs does end up being the New Jersey GOP's deathknell, because I don't want my very ambitious current Mayor to run for Governor and win.

https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2023/06/a-feeling-of-trump-2016-why-phil-murphy-and-democrats-have-anxiety-this-election-year-00101399

Phil Murphy says he has a "Trump 2016" feeling about state elections this year. Now, he could just be saying this to keep Democrats on their toes but Republicans outperforming expectations in New Jersey has happened several times in recent years so it could be something to keep an eye on.

It's going to be 2019 all over again, more accurately, if you ask me.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,096
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2023, 05:44:49 PM »

How easy would it be for New Jersey Dems to switch the timing of elections to even years?

I don't think any Governor would have the cajones to be the one to pull the trigger on this, it would look overly political and self-serving.
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