https://mobile.twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1448775212913381379
Seems very reasonable
It’s not too far off from the cbs poll.
Ultimately, youngkin is running a fine campaign. The problem is the state is just so blue at this point and also, critically, enough voters still care strongly about covid and they favor mcauliffe.
I’m of the opinion that once covid fades as an issue, it will actually be a wash politically. Dems might get credit for ending it, but, paradoxically, voters will then stop gravitating towards the candidate they feel is stronger on measures and restrictions
Youngkins favorability ratings are +3. That’s not bad at all. A decent slice of mcauliffe voters like the man
They just think if they vote for him, they are voting for trump.
Then if that's the case McAuliffe's campaign is succeeding and Youngkin is still being too Trumpy with his tactics.
But at any rate, you're right that this seems like one of the more reasonable polls of the race so far. And that includes the Biden approval number. The election top line is not far off from my prediction, and slightly reassuring at this point even though I still would like to see better.