CBS/YouGov 50 state model megathread (user search)
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  CBS/YouGov 50 state model megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov 50 state model megathread  (Read 4047 times)
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,977
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« on: July 12, 2020, 06:25:47 PM »
I don't know, these three results don't add up. I'm pointing out the obvious here, but unless we've been wrong all this time about Arizona, I don't see how it is tied if Trump is only leading by one in Texas and if Biden is leading by a (relatively) whopping six points in Florida.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,977
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #1 on: July 13, 2020, 06:01:26 PM »
I don't know, I'm not that unsettled by these numbers. They look like pretty realistic wins for Biden, especially with him being above 50% in both of them.

But many of their other state-by-state numbers don't quite add up.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,977
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2020, 06:03:14 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 13, 2020, 05:20:37 PM
So FL at Biden+6, WI at Biden+5, and PA at Biden+5 are all tossups...while IA at Trump+2, OH at Trump+1, and TX at Trump+1 are Lean R.  Huh?

Not only that, but Colorado and Nevada are only lean D here when Biden is winning by double digits.
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