Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 34,062
Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65
|
 |
« on: November 30, 2018, 08:40:52 PM » |
|
Many of these could change depending on the nominees:
Alabama: Likely R
Alaska: Safe R
Arizona: Tossup
Arkansas: Safe R
Colorado: Lean D
Delaware: Safe D
Georgia: Lean R
Idaho: Safe R
Illinois: Safe D
Iowa: Lean R
Kansas: Likely R
Kentucky: Safe R
Louisiana: Safe R
Maine: Tossup
Massachusetts: Safe D
Michigan: Safe D
Minnesota: Safe D
Mississippi: Safe R
Montana: Likely R
Nebraska: Safe R
New Hampshire: Likely D
New Jersey: Safe D
New Mexico: Safe D
North Carolina: Lean R
Oklahoma: Safe R
Oregon: Safe D
Rhode Island: Safe D
South Carolina: Safe R
South Dakota: Safe R
Tennessee: Safe R
Texas: Safe R
Virginia: Safe D
West Virginia: Safe R
Wyoming: Safe R
The Democrats best bet at pickups, in order: Colorado, Arizona, Maine, North Carolina, Iowa, Georgia. They'll need to win 5 of them (accounting for a likely Jones loss). Kansas and Montana are also possible pickups, but only with the best candidates possible.
The GOP only really has two chances at pickups, they are definitely on the defense this time: Alabama, which they pretty much have already won, and maybe New Hampshire, if they're lucky.
|
