Predict your home state races.

[Progressive Pessimist]

NJ Senate: Bob Menendez
NJ-01: Donald Norcross
NJ-02: Jeff Van Drew
NJ-03: Tom MacArthur
NJ-04: Chris Smith
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer
NJ-06: Frank Pallone
NJ-07: Leonard Lance
NJ-08: Albio Sires
NJ-09: Bill Pascrell
NJ-10: Donald Payne Jr.
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill
NJ-12: Bonnie Watson Coleman

I'll admit I am the least confident about NJ-03 and NJ-07. They really could go either way. This just my hunch that both GOP incumbents win by very similar narrow margins.

[Progressive Pessimist]

NJ Senate: Bob Menendez
NJ-01: Donald Norcross
NJ-02: Jeff Van Drew
NJ-03: Tom MacArthur
NJ-04: Chris Smith
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer
NJ-06: Frank Pallone
NJ-07: Leonard Lance
NJ-08: Albio Sires
NJ-09: Bill Pascrell
NJ-10: Donald Payne Jr.
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill
NJ-12: Bonnie Watson Coleman

I'll admit I am the least confident about NJ-03 and NJ-07. They really could go either way. This just my hunch that both GOP incumbents win by very similar narrow margins.

Man, I would love an 11-1 NJ delegation. It's possible, too. All the pieces are there. Van Drew, Kim, Malinowski, and Sherrill are all very good candidates. If the wave is big enough, it might just happen.

I would too. Seeing the current districts backfire on the  Republicans would be wholly satisfying. It's not just possible, it's very possible. I was kind of going with my gut with my ratings but it really might as well be a coin flip.

[Progressive Pessimist]

New Jersey:

Senate: Bob Menendez

NJ-01: Don Norcross
NJ-02: Jeff Van Drew (by a 20 point margin)
NJ-03: Andy Kim (narrowly)
NJ-04: Josh Welle (by some insanely small margin, <1000 votes)
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer
NJ-06: Frank Pallone
NJ-07: Tom Malinowski (by a small but decent margin)
NJ-08: Albio Sires
NJ-09: Bill Pascrell
NJ-10: Donald Payne
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill (by a decent margin)
NJ-12: Bonnie Watson Coleman

You certainly are optimistic. I would love to see this happen.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Race, Candidate, Party, estimated % of vote, (I) = Incumbent

NJ Senate: Bob Menendez (I) (D) 54%
NJ-1: Donald Norcross (I) (D) 69%
NJ-2: Jeff Van Drew (D) 59%
NJ-3: Tom MacArthur (I) (R) 51%
NJ-4: Chris Smith (I) (R) 56%
NJ-5: Scott Gottheimer (I) (D) 53%
NJ-6: Frank Pallone (I) (D) 61%
NJ-7: Tom Malinowski (D) 50%
NJ-8: Albio Sires (I) (D) 71%
NJ-9: Bill Pascrell Jr. (I) (D) 75%
NJ-10: Donald Payne Jr. (I) (D) 85%
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill (D) 52%
NJ-12: Bonnie Watson Coleman (I) (D) 63%

Did Scott Garrett trap Josh Gottheimer in a teleportation machine with him and then end up a hybrid monster like in The Fly? Oh wait, Garrett never believed in science. I'm so glad to be rid of that guy.