Based on TS data, if you assume all Ds vote D, all Rs vote R and indies go 60-40 Youngkin, you have almost exactly a 60-40 McAuliffe EV total thus far.
What is the 60-40 split for Indies based on? Just Youngkin generally rising in the polls?
It just seems to be the "consensus" at this point. Not paying much attention but there was at least one poll pointing toward that. It's also how the TS numbers more or less have to break down for those who've been saying EV is +20 Mc all along. Obv a few Ds will vote R and vice-versa, so the actual indy split in this scenario would be a handful of points closer than my above example.
Do you my prediction is Trumpkin/Ayala/Herring is viable?
