2020 State Legislature Results -Post Here

[jamestroll]

Why did Republicans do so well in state legislatures? Financing? Are the Democrats really that bad at messaging? Curious to hear what you all think.

Democrats are a dead political party in vast swathes of this country.

And I think that 2022 will show us that democratic losses in the rurals are more permanent than GOP losses in the suburbs.

Most suburbs are not going to go back to being as Republican as they were before Trump and Obama lol. I can't really see DuPage County becoming a GOP strong hold

[jamestroll]

Why did Republicans do so well in state legislatures? Financing? Are the Democrats really that bad at messaging? Curious to hear what you all think.

Democrats are a dead political party in vast swathes of this country.

And I think that 2022 will show us that democratic losses in the rurals are more permanent than GOP losses in the suburbs.

Most suburbs are not going to go back to being as Republican as they were before Trump and Obama lol. I can't really see DuPage County becoming a GOP strong hold

No, but getting back to 46% seems possible.

Suburbs are still a very important part of the Democratic coalition.

I do not get all this talk of Democrats suddenly going to lose all suburbs going forward.

[jamestroll]

Why did Republicans do so well in state legislatures? Financing? Are the Democrats really that bad at messaging? Curious to hear what you all think.

Democrats are a dead political party in vast swathes of this country.

And I think that 2022 will show us that democratic losses in the rurals are more permanent than GOP losses in the suburbs.

Most suburbs are not going to go back to being as Republican as they were before Trump and Obama lol. I can't really see DuPage County becoming a GOP strong hold

I know that, but recovering to 2016 levels in some of these places is a possibility. In the 2022 midterm, there could be an even bigger shift though it would probably be a temporary dead cat bounce.

Cool we agree there.

Why did Republicans do so well in state legislatures? Financing? Are the Democrats really that bad at messaging? Curious to hear what you all think.

Democrats are a dead political party in vast swathes of this country.

And I think that 2022 will show us that democratic losses in the rurals are more permanent than GOP losses in the suburbs.

Most suburbs are not going to go back to being as Republican as they were before Trump and Obama lol. I can't really see DuPage County becoming a GOP strong hold

No, but getting back to 46% seems possible.

Also while Democrats are losing house seats left and right in Southern California, Casten held on in a GOP vote sink in Chicagoland and Underwood will probably end up holding on. The two parties traded seats in Chicagoland for the legislature and Durbin had his most Chicagoland (relative to statewide results) coalition ever.

But yea, I do not know if Pritzker will carry DuPage in 2022. But it will be close either way

[jamestroll]

Why did Republicans do so well in state legislatures? Financing? Are the Democrats really that bad at messaging? Curious to hear what you all think.

Democrats are a dead political party in vast swathes of this country.

And I think that 2022 will show us that democratic losses in the rurals are more permanent than GOP losses in the suburbs.

Most suburbs are not going to go back to being as Republican as they were before Trump and Obama lol. I can't really see DuPage County becoming a GOP strong hold

I know that, but recovering to 2016 levels in some of these places is a possibility. In the 2022 midterm, there could be an even bigger shift though it would probably be a temporary dead cat bounce.

Cool we agree there.

Why did Republicans do so well in state legislatures? Financing? Are the Democrats really that bad at messaging? Curious to hear what you all think.

Democrats are a dead political party in vast swathes of this country.

And I think that 2022 will show us that democratic losses in the rurals are more permanent than GOP losses in the suburbs.

Most suburbs are not going to go back to being as Republican as they were before Trump and Obama lol. I can't really see DuPage County becoming a GOP strong hold

No, but getting back to 46% seems possible.

Also while Democrats are losing house seats left and right in Southern California, Casten held on in a GOP vote sink in Chicagoland and Underwood will probably end up holding on. The two parties traded seats in Chicagoland for the legislature and Durbin had his most Chicagoland (relative to statewide results) coalition ever.

But yea, I do not know if Pritzker will carry DuPage in 2022. But it will be close either way

I know that some ballots must still be counted but their winning margins are note very impressive, considering that their races were rated Safe D and Likely D.

and they actually won! Despite the fact that demographics are in theory quite favorable to the GOP in those chicagoland suburbs and I can argue they are more secure for Democrats than Orange County. Not that I expect Orange county to vote for a Republican for President any time soon.