Senators who were DOA? (user search)
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  Senators who were DOA? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of these Senators were DOA for the following elections?
#1
Blanche Lincoln (2010)
 
#2
Scott Brown (2012)
 
#3
Mark Pryor (2014)
 
#4
Mary Landrieu (2014)
 
#5
Mark Begich (2014)
 
#6
Mark Kirk (2016)
 
#7
Heidi Heitkamp (2018)
 
#8
Joe Donnelly (2018)
 
#9
Claire McCaskill (2018)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 68

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Author Topic: Senators who were DOA?  (Read 746 times)
jamestroll
jamespol
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Posts: 10,566


« on: November 12, 2019, 03:33:43 AM »

I don't think that any of the 2018 Democrats were DOA. All three ran really, really bad campaigns against strong, well-funded opponents - and still won roughly 45% of the vote each. Yes, 2018 was a good year for Democrats at the national level, but the "wave" didn't reach everywhere.

Democrats could win any one of these seats again with a decent candidate, a strong campaign, and a favorable national environment.

The Obama-era southern Dems on the other hand... I'm not sure that anything short of setting themselves up for party switches years in advance would have prevented those losses. Only a Roy Moore level candidate could make these seats competitive again in the immediate future.

I absolutely agree with you.

Of the three (ND, IN and MO) I would think Missouri would be the most likely to elect a Democratic Senator. McCaskill also had the issue of being very unpopular.

Geography hurts Democrats in Missouri but it can also help. It could be pretty efficient to run a metro based campaign and be able to earn a statewide majority. (STL, KC, Columbia and Springfield).

I do not believe we cold win North Dakota any time for the foreseeable future. I feel like Heitkamp got unlucky with Kavanaugh and also screwed up her own campaign.
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