I asked this question in 2013. In 2020, I think we have a clear answer. I'm still curious if Republicans can get close in the Governor and statewide races next year though after the embarrassing administration of Governor Blackface and Lt Governor Rapist.
Most people i know rate it anywhere between tilt r and likely r. No one I know rates it as anything better for Democrats than toss up. In reference to va gov 2021.
My hunch is that Democrats win it but the gop may sneak by in one of the three statewide offices.