CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 04:30:09 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA (search mode)
Thread note

Pages: [1]
Author Topic: CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA  (Read 110372 times)
Yellowhammer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,695
United States


« on: May 23, 2018, 04:07:05 PM »
« edited: May 23, 2018, 04:12:08 PM by Yellowhammer »

Does anyone know if Roy Moore is trying to run for anything else in Alabama?
No he isn't, but don't be surprised if he comes back one day.
His ally Tom Parker is running for Chief Justice.
Logged
Yellowhammer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,695
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 29, 2018, 05:28:58 PM »

Does anyone think Martha Roby (AL-2) is vulnerable to an upset defeat in the upcoming primary? She's a very weak incumbent, and ran 16 (!) points behind Trump in 2016.
Logged
Yellowhammer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,695
United States


« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2018, 07:46:58 PM »

Only a minuscule fraction of reporting in AL, but Martha Roby is currently trailing by 5%. She's could be in danger.
Logged
Yellowhammer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,695
United States


« Reply #3 on: June 12, 2018, 07:06:05 PM »
« Edited: June 12, 2018, 07:09:14 PM by Yellowhammer »

Freitas ahead by ~3,000 votes.

Edit: Prince William Co, where Stewart lives, still has tons of votes to report, so I'm not optimistic. Confederate Corey will probably win.
Logged
Yellowhammer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,695
United States


« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2018, 09:35:52 PM »

From 538:

"In South Carolina’s 4th District Republican primary, we are virtually certain to see a runoff in a 13-candidate field. (Rep. Trey Gowdy is retiring.) But the guy currently in first place, Lee Bright, has expressed support for the state’s right to nullify federal laws and the creation of a separate currency for South Carolina."

I keep hoping the whack-a-doodles have reached their limit, and I keep getting proven wrong.
Those are perfectly reasonable views.
Logged
Yellowhammer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,695
United States


« Reply #5 on: June 13, 2018, 02:25:16 PM »

Anyone want to summarize last night's results if I don't want to read back through the thread?

Rep. Mark Sanford (SC-01), former Governor, got primaried out by Katie Arrington, who got Trump's endorsement just hours before polls closed.

Despite his #MeToo problems, Archie Parnell still overwhelmingly won the Dem primary in SC-05.

In VA-10, Wexton won the Dem primary, while Comstock barely broke 60% in the Rep primary.

Jared Golden looks likely to be the nominee in ME-02, as he's got 49% of the vote with 83% reporting - if this holds he'd only need 10% of third place candidate Craig Olson's second-pref votes.

In governor's races, we have,

Sisolak-Laxalt in Nevada (Sisolak got a very slim majority, beat Chris G by like 12 points)
Shawn Moody won an outright majority in the ME-Gov Rep primary. The Dem primary is still unclear, as the full RCV tabulation won't happen until probably at least the weekend, but Mills, Cote, Sweet, and Eves all seem to have a path to victory.

In South Carolina, incumbent Henry McMaster was forced into a runoff against John Warren.

Also, the other big one, Confederate General Corey Stewart won the VA-Sen Rep primary. NRSC and other major Republican groups look like they're going to triage this.
They probably triaged it after the 2017 gov election. They aren't dumb enough to even consider seriously contesting this seat.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 10 queries.