If wealthy and educated people trend D because of Republican anti-intellectualism, minorities trend D because of Republican racism, poor people trend D because of government programs, middle-class people trend D because <insert reasons>, urban areas trend D, suburbs trend D because they loathe deplorables, rural areas trend D because 'they vote for their interests', young people trend D because of guns and the WWC trends D because of medicare and social security (all of these points seem to be #AtlasConsensus), some of these groups are going to trend R solely by the virtue of not shifting D enough .
Don't forget farmers trending D because of muh tariffs, lol.