NJ-SEN 2024: Draggin' The Line (3/24: Murphy OUT)

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/Thorongil16/status/1756423801573621937

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1757098733152465288

[Atlas Force]

It sounds too good to be true, but he's doing very well so far. Here's hoping

Well this was one of the easier endorsements for him to win. The big urban counties are still against him and they cast the most votes. Anyway, I do find it bizarre the level of emotion this primary has attracted, particularly some of the rhetoric towards Tammy Murphy, for instance some people just think she got where she was because she’s the Governor’s wife, ignoring that she had a very successful private sector career before that. I think people need to be careful about what attacks they exactly parrot because it’s at first glance easy to miss the insinuations in comments like that. The above post gets me in this regard because it seems to imply it’s wrong or at least abnormal to support Murphy, which isn’t really respectful to her voters.

The big urban counties are not against him, the big urban machines are. Let's not act like its otherwise.

I expect Murphy to do very poorly in the more educated suburban parts of these counties which could cause her to win a lot of these counties by underwhelming margins or even lose some of them, allowing Kim to run up the score in the suburban counties to victory.

It helps that a lot of the voters in these areas were Republicans until relatively recently. They don’t have much history with the machine, they don’t owe anything to the machine, and they don’t have much reason to give the machine their votes.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/hjessy_/status/1759410604811407571

[Atlas Force]

I don't really have anything against Tammy Murphy herself, but using corrupt antiquated mechanisms to distort the playing field is pretty awful. If she felt she was the best candidate, she should have disavowed the machine elements and called for a fair process. Andy Kim is awesome though. I see so many places offer the worst of America, but sending Andy Kim to the Senate offers some of the very best.

I don't even know exactly what this county line thing is (apart from a strange-looking ballot), but it needs to be abolished or struck down.

There's federal litigation challenging the Line rn: Conforti v. Hanlon, filed by several losing 2020 primary candidates & the NJWFP, survived the motion to dismiss & remains pending in discovery now nearly 44 months after it was initially filed, but unfortunately isn't on-track for trial in Judge Quraishi's courtroom anytime soon, let alone by this year's Jun. 4th primary.

First link is broken

[Atlas Force]

I don't really have anything against Tammy Murphy herself, but using corrupt antiquated mechanisms to distort the playing field is pretty awful. If she felt she was the best candidate, she should have disavowed the machine elements and called for a fair process. Andy Kim is awesome though. I see so many places offer the worst of America, but sending Andy Kim to the Senate offers some of the very best.

I don't even know exactly what this county line thing is (apart from a strange-looking ballot), but it needs to be abolished or struck down.

There's federal litigation challenging the Line rn: Conforti v. Hanlon, filed by several losing 2020 primary candidates & the NJWFP, survived the motion to dismiss & remains pending in discovery now nearly 44 months after it was initially filed, but unfortunately isn't on-track for trial in Judge Quraishi's courtroom anytime soon, let alone by this year's Jun. 4th primary.

First link is broken

Fixed, thx!

You’re welcome

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/DrewSav/status/1764830349614297106

https://twitter.com/DrewSav/status/1764831145047343462

[Atlas Force]

Monmouth:

Statewide:
Kim fav: 28/10 (+18)
Murphy fav: 14/26 (-12)

Dems:
Kim fav: 48/2 (+46)
Murphy fav: 24/13 (+11)

If [READ NAME] is the [Democratic/Republican] nominee for Senate, will you definitely vote for [him/her], possibly vote for [him/her], or definitely not vote for [him/her] in November? [NAMES WERE ROTATED]

Andy Kim (D): 60% definitely/possibly, 33% definitely not
Tammy Murphy (D): 51% definitely/possibly, 42% definitely not

Christine Serrano Glassner (R): 47% definitely/possibly, 42% definitely not
Curtis Bashaw (R): 45% definitely/possibly, 44% definitely not

It would honestly be malpractice not to nominate Kim. He's completely un-unlikable

Monmouth has an exciting federal race in NJ for the first time in a while and they still do this definitely/possibly BS. We could really used some straightforward datapoints in this race so this is a waste of a potentially really useful poll.

https://twitter.com/JoeNC05/status/1765465996737847481

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/NickTagliaferro/status/1765463115695546381

[Atlas Force]

NJ's AG view's the county line to be unconstitutional and won't defend it in court.

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1769463097654141031?s=20

The New Jersey AG is appointed by the governor. So this is big big news, Murphy’s appointed AG is going against Murphy’s wife.

https://twitter.com/JoshuaMZeitz/status/1769464416150356118

[Atlas Force]

I was watching a Guitar Hero stream on Twitch and I come back to this, what a day.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/ET_Californian/status/1771984171528802592

[Atlas Force]

Man June 4 can’t come soon enough.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1773142722003501311

[Atlas Force]

So hypothetically speaking, if the line case makes it all the way to SCOTUS, how would they likely rule?

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/wildstein/status/1775242589773459910

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/politico/status/1780884487196323921

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/JonathanTamari/status/1798141122856038796