California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 24, 2024, 01:07:54 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R) (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: California Senate 2024 - Schiff (D) vs Garvey (R)  (Read 67423 times)
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« on: February 07, 2023, 04:19:22 PM »

Meanwhile Republican Mike Doyle unsuccessfully ran last year in Pennsylvania’s 12th District to succeed retiring Democratic Congressman Mike Doyle.
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 12, 2023, 04:23:35 PM »

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 14, 2023, 10:27:10 PM »

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #3 on: April 16, 2023, 10:57:34 AM »

Really, Newsom shouldn't have backed himself into the corner of saying he'd only appoint an African-American woman.

The best appointment, really is Kounalakis, because even if she did run, she'd be no threat in a primary, and she probably won't run because she wants to be Governor more.

Boxer would also be a decent choice imo. She literally already knows the job and considering her willingness to retire back in 2016, there’s very little chance of her running again.
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #4 on: June 25, 2023, 10:28:26 PM »

Schiff is a gamer???
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2023, 01:50:25 PM »

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2023, 09:38:15 AM »

Newsom should appoint Michelle Steel or Young Kim.

Take a reliable vote from McCarthy, force a special election in a flippable district, force the NRSC to compete in California of all places in 2024 (they would be required to, at the very least, split-match eligible expenditures with Steel's/Kim's campaign), gives him bipartisan cred when he runs for President, plus he still gets to say he appointed a woman of color.

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2023, 11:23:09 AM »


Is this a reference to something
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2023, 03:13:17 PM »


Just to the fact it was pretty apparent Feinstein wanted to die a senator, which isn’t that uncommon among the octogenarian senators

Alright
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2023, 06:23:10 PM »

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #10 on: September 30, 2023, 10:21:34 AM »

It's incredibly unprecedented for the third-place candidate and her surrogates to repeatedly demand the seat be given to them in the middle of an ongoing race. Bizarre.

I almost hope Newsom goes ahead and taps Schiff as the party choice at this point.
If Newsom breaks his pledge it would probably be the African American part (cause all his options said no?) rather than the placeholder part at this point.


I mean, he couldn’t appoint Lee even if he wanted to at this point, right?  It’d make him look really weak for being bullied into submission by the Twitter tantrum of some random congresswoman who can’t even crack double-digits in a statewide primary

Yes, but also it appears as though the Black political establishment is also applying pressure on him. Thus far every notable Black female politician has said they won’t take a caretaker appt and many have said he should give it to Lee. So, if he doesn’t appoint her there is a good chance he will just bolster her argument that he’s looking to appoint a token Black person to advance his own interests and not to help Black ppl.

Gavin Newsom has turned a moment of potential strength into a lose-lose situation.

This seems to be aging well:

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #11 on: September 30, 2023, 10:58:19 AM »

Lol

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2023, 06:55:22 PM »

lol



Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2023, 09:40:03 PM »

It’s official according to Wikipedia:

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2023, 09:44:46 PM »

Huh that’s cool:

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2023, 10:36:18 PM »

Huh that’s cool:



Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2023, 10:39:53 PM »

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2023, 10:43:15 PM »

I wonder if her being the President of EMILY’s List makes it less likely she runs, since she might just want to go back to a cushy behind-the-scenes role when her 13 months are up.
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #18 on: October 02, 2023, 10:36:29 AM »

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #19 on: October 03, 2023, 09:50:35 AM »



This tells me that she is not running,  and Newsom picked a DC insider to do a DC job for a few months. This is because filing deadlines are fast approaching for the March primary.  She is a hypothetical candidate with no name recognition, already-uncovered potential election weaknesses,  and all opponents have lots of money in a expensive state where millions of voters need to be in your corner to win. If she was running, it would have to start now, and hard. Delay in this situation is the same as no.

Also, time spent campaigning (which she would have to do a LOT of to improve her name recognition in such a gigantic state) is time spent not showing up in DC, which is a pretty big deal considering that she is serving in a closely-divided Senate where Dems need every vote they can get.
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #20 on: October 03, 2023, 02:29:41 PM »



This tells me that she is not running,  and Newsom picked a DC insider to do a DC job for a few months. This is because filing deadlines are fast approaching for the March primary.  She is a hypothetical candidate with no name recognition, already-uncovered potential election weaknesses,  and all opponents have lots of money in a expensive state where millions of voters need to be in your corner to win. If she was running, it would have to start now, and hard. Delay in this situation is the same as no.

The Black community has already lined up behind Barbara Lee. Labor has also already began picking its sides. Progressives will hate her work for Uber and Lyft and establishmentarians are already behind Schiff. She seems like a smart politico and probably sees the tea leaves as plain as day: at best she will just keep another Black woman from a fair shot at the Senate. I don’t see how she breaks out of the top 2 without a massive infusion of cash, which also leaves her vulnerable.

People here seem to forget this is a primary electorate that gave Bernie and Warren a combined 60% of the vote too. I wouldn’t assume voters are interested in a more moderate, corporate friendly Black woman. And those that are will be enamored by MSNBC darling Adam Schiff. Sen. Butler probably doesn’t have many viable paths to get re-elected without veering to the left or going full scorched earth on the other progressives, which carries its own risks.

Did you mean to reply to patzer’s post?
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #21 on: October 03, 2023, 07:09:47 PM »

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2023, 05:53:31 PM »

BREAKING: Laphonza Butler NOT Running




Not surprising at all.
Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #23 on: March 06, 2024, 12:55:28 AM »

Logged
Atlas Force
mlee117379
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,340
United States


« Reply #24 on: March 06, 2024, 01:41:57 PM »


Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.039 seconds with 11 queries.