Does Texas really go non-Atlas blue with any other Republican nominee though? We keep talking about “2024” or “2028,” but a large part of the truth is that Hillary and Beto only came “close” because they were pushing against the message of a Republican leader who was uniquely bad, or at the very least uniquely ill-suited to winning over large swaths of voters in the state. That has to count for something, right?
The way moderates seem to be quitting the republican party, chances are the 2024 primary electorate is going to be made up by a majority of very conversative people, thus I would not be surprised to see another Trump-ish nominee.