It's finally the day! Rate the Iowa caucuses (Iowa prediction megathread) (user search)
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  It's finally the day! Rate the Iowa caucuses (Iowa prediction megathread) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate the Iowa caucuses
#1
Tilt Sanders/Tossup
 
#2
Lean Sanders
 
#3
Likely Sanders
 
#4
Tilt Buttigieg/Tossup
 
#5
Lean Buttigieg
 
#6
Likely Buttigieg
 
#7
Tilt Biden/Tossup
 
#8
Lean Biden
 
#9
Likely Biden
 
#10
Tilt Warren/Tossup
 
#11
Tossup/Tilt another candidate
 
#12
Pure Tossup
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 241

Author Topic: It's finally the day! Rate the Iowa caucuses (Iowa prediction megathread)  (Read 6684 times)
Stable Genius
mcgoe42
Newbie
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Posts: 2
Canada


« on: February 03, 2020, 11:03:40 AM »

First round:
Sanders - 26%
Warren - 20%
Buttigieg - 20%
Biden - 17%
Klobuchar - 12%
Others - 5%

Final delegate allocation:
Sanders - 28%
Buttigieg - 22%
Biden - 22%
Warren - 21%
Klobuchar - 6%

Clean win for Sanders. Warren and Buttigieg overperform polling due to better organization. Biden underperforms but is partially saved in the delegate count by doing better in the rurals while Warren support is concentrated in suburbs. Klobuchar hits double digits but misses viability in most places.
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