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HCP
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,552
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« on: March 18, 2024, 03:27:24 PM » |
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Probably not, but it is one of those counties where the potential electorate has changed significantly even in just 4 years. Census population estimates have Collin County gaining 120k residents between 2020-2023. Another year of robust growth means there’s a potential for some surprises there. Obviously not even a majority of new residents will necessarily vote, but it’s possible some surprises could happen, and other suburban/exurban counties could see pretty strong swings as well. Collin used to be pretty consistently to the right of the statewide margin, but it leans Dem now (in O’Rourke’s runs, it went from being R+3.5 of the state to D+1). I’d imagine it’ll be blue if Allred wins, but I don’t expect that.
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