New official NPC thread (August polls coming, campaigning open)

[Peanut]

Meanwhile, the numbers for the final rounds where applicable:


Alaska: 
R1: 35% - 35% - 26% - 4%
R2: 37% - 36% - 27%
R3: 56% - 44%

Puerto Rico:
R1: 45% - 39% - 8% - 8%
R2: 46% - 45% - 10%
R3: 54% - 46%

Nyman:
R1: 48% - 33% - 14% - 5%
R2: 52% - 33% - 15%

Michigan:
R1: 38% - 30% - 18%14%
R2: 49% - 31% - 20%
R3: 53% - 47%

Indiana:
R1: 37% - 35% - 28%
R2: 59% - 41%

Wisconsin:
R1: 34% - 31% - 20% - 15%
R2: 44% - 34% - 22%
R3: 51% - 49%

[Peanut]

Good work, Peanut! I can only imagine what tweaking you did behind the scenes - I do hope the original spreadsheets I sent weren't that horrifying to look that -, and it looks like a strong month in terms of player and GM performance.

West_Midlander's remark when deregistrating does worry me a little, but on the whole, glad to see a clear demonstration that NPC elections can be efficiently run by someone else, and that their chances to become a long term dynamic are higher as a result.

Thanks Lumine! Your spreadsheets were actually a really good baseline - it was relatively simple to understand them lol. I did add some things and changed the calculations of some, but in general you were the architect for this season too, and I'm still standing on the shoulders of giants!

I really hope we can get WM back, and I hope his in-game friends can convince him to come back: his campaigning was really important and fun to read through.

And thank you very much! Onward to April!

PS: You know, you would be a formidable campaigner yourself... might wanna consider it!

[Peanut]

While I have not been able to post starting numbers, the campaigning period for April has officially begun.

Currently, all four national parties from the March cycle (Feds, Labor, DA, and Libs) as well as Citizens in Lincoln, have been marked as participating in the April elections.

If any other party wishes to participate, please post that in this thread.

[Peanut]

Citizens withdrawn, coalitions seen, and Juche currently in the lead nationwide due to unprecedented support among Twitter circles and confused coastal retirees.

[Peanut]

Alright folks, polling is coming up (which will take into account campaigning made as of me posting this). Really bad time for me to go missing, but I've really been swamped with rl stuff and just haven't had time to post on the forum.

I would also ask you to look at the official GM thread for some clarification on some disruptive matters.

[Peanut]

Also, as I said, I was uncomfortable with the situation from the start as money is simply not the GM's role. I think that's what's most important here, and not whether the numbers were or weren't correct. I would appreciate not cluttering the thread, and I really do understand the difficult situation we are in, but I'm not comfortable taking responsibilities and adjudicating facts beyond the scope of my office. I also believe the person that PMed me knew what they were talking about and provided sufficient evidence, just as I believe Truman's points wrt the South and Lincoln are valid, but that's not really the issue at hand.

Anyways, I appreciate your patience regarding polling numbers, and deeply understand your concerns regarding the point in the cycle. Last week was crazy work and study-wise, and I'm just now settling down and being able to approach and fully read through your campaigns so far.

[Peanut]

I think finding a new Comptroller-General is really important. As I stated on my official thread, it's not really the GM's role to grade budgets regardless of whether there are issues: I will gladly simulate reactions and news stories that don't directly score or give hard estimates, even when they pertain to financial matters, but I don't want to bite off more than I can chew with regards to the GM's statutory responsibilities. Considered making a separate thread, but yeah, that's basically my point: not the GM's job as it's, well, illegal and it both opens the door to bias in the way future GMs operate and is simply far too much for me to handle with NPC elections in the mix as well.

I'll be glad to help in whatever way I can in finding a new CG, and am looking forward to working with them once they're selected because I think coordination between numbers and stories would be fascinating for the game, but I'm very sorry to say I won't score budgets, give cost estimates, or provide hard sums regarding expenses and revenue. Everything that doesn't fall under those categories is fair game for a GM request, and I actually really appreciate writing stories about issues you deem important.

[Peanut]

I'm frankly glad I didn't have to grade quite so much up to now! I have liked events so far, short and sweet, though I hope to see stronger campaigning when polling (I know, I know - events are already graded and I'm taking them into account for the numbers, and remember we still have over 10 days to go in the cycle. I appreciate your patience, it's not fair for you to be waiting so long for numbers, but I'm really busy rn irl - should definitely be easier from tomorrow on, though, which will allow me to post more stories and take into account shiny new bills from Congress and events for the NPCs.

Overall, great job so far! While there hasn't been a lot of campaigning, I'm thankful for what you guys have posted and am glad to see consistency - I'd advise you to see other parties' campaigns to see who is your main rival in each state for now, while I get polls ready to post. Thank you, and again, so sorry for the delay!

[Peanut]

Atlasia Elects: April 2021
The state of play



The Virgin Islands, with their DA Governor and legislative plurality, not shown on the map. California stands for the Los Angeles Mayoralty.

Active events:
None so far.

With vaccination efforts at full pace, Governors trying to keep sometimes conflicting legislatures at bay, Lincoln just wholesale changing its Constitution, and maybe even scandals looming in one or two state governments, Atlasians prepare to go to the polls in this April season of the NPC elections. Who will win? Who will lose? All will be revealed - but first, the polls!


The state of the states:

North Dakota:

Governor: Kent Dorgan, with a supermajority.

Administration's popularity: 72% - 24%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  56%
Federalist Party  -  15%
Democratic Alliance  -  8%
Liberal Party  -  8%
Juche Party  -  0%


Governor Dorgan, much like his neighbor directly South, enjoys incredibly high popularity and has enacted broad reforms with his unprecedented supermajority. However, Labor hasn't campaigned in the state so far, while other parties have all held events there - while probably not enough to make Governor Dorgan lose, it could put a dent in Labor's majority.

Idaho:

Governor: Joe Smith, with a trifecta

Administration's popularity: 48% - 48%

Polling:
Juche Party  -  78%
Labor Party (inc.)  -  45%
Democratic Alliance  -  20%
Federalist Party  -  17%
Liberal Party  -  9%

Yeah, I don't really know what's going on here either?

Iowa:

Governor: Michael Engle, with a legislative plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 52% - 44%

Polling:
Federalist Party  -  39%
Labor Party (inc.)  -  36%
Democratic Alliance  -  16%
Liberal Party  -  8%


In the last Fremont state still without Labor government, the Federalist Governor enjoys positive approval ratings. However, Labor's campaigning for the state has been aggressive to say the least, and demonstrates a level of ambition to control the whole region that might succeed depending on the Federalist response to the recent flurry of campaigning.

Los Angeles:

Mayor: Earvin Johnson.

Administration's popularity: 43% - 50%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  35%
Democratic Alliance  -  22%
Federalist Party  -  19%
Liberal Party  -  5%
Juche Party  -  2%


The LA mayoralty is probably the weakest Labor-held jurisdiction in Fremont this cycle, as relatively low popularity numbers threaten Mayor Earving's reelection campaign. However, campaigning in general has been scarce, and it remains to be seen what effect (if any) future events have.



West Virginia:

Governor: Courtney Rhodes, with a legislative trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 59% - 32%

Polling:

Federalist Party (inc.) -  50%
Labor Party  -  24%
Democratic Alliance  -  15%
Liberal Party  -  5%
Juche Party  -  0%


Governor Courtney Rhodes's country roads government has proven popular in the Mountain State, as the government's reelection looks likely: simple organic popularity has caused Federalist numbers to improve on their September results in the state, while other parties have backslided somewhat.

Kansas:

Governor: James Benson, with a legislative plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 40% - 39%

Polling:

Democratic Alliance (inc.) -  32%
Federalist Party -  26%
Labor Party  -  14%
Liberal Party  -  10%
Juche Party  -  0%

One of the biggest question marks of the cycle is Kansas, where Governor Benson has had a very low-key role running his state, being an efficient but relatively unknown executive. The state, which voted for YT in the last presidential election by a relatively thin margin, elected Governor Benson in a close election against the Federalist candidate, and scarce campaigning here has given the incumbent a clear edge, but a lot remains to be seen regarding the result in Kansas.

Mississippi:

Governor: Some Fed, with a legislative trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 43% - 45%

Polling:

Federalist Party (inc.) -  40%
Democratic Alliance  -  20%
Labor Party  -  20%
Liberal Party  -  1%
Juche Party  -  0%

Not much has been going on in the Magnolia State, but heavy Federalist partisanship (as well as rumors of a drunken visit by the Vice President and Labor Chair, that, despite resulting in unprecedented support for the Labor Party among senior high schoolers and college students, asked more questions than it answered) seems to be the key to this state's results.

North Carolina:

Governor: Some Other Fed, with a legislative trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 59% - 34%

Polling:

Federalist Party (inc.) -  52%
Democratic Alliance  -  14%
Labor Party  -  12%
Liberal Party  -  1%
Juche Party  -  0%

While there has been next to no campaigning in the state, and most voters do not really know their government (indeed, in a recent poll over 90% of residents couldn't even name their Governor, and Federalist authorities have remained silent on the matter), they don't seem opposed to reelecting their administration (whoever and wherever that may be).


New York:

Governor: Patrick Denniston, with a legislative plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 61% - 30%

Polling:

Federalist Party (inc.) -  42%
Labor Party  -  21%
Liberal Party  -  19%
Democratic Alliance  -  18%
Juche Party  -  0%

Governor Denniston is very, very popular: the state has been a shining example of vaccine rollout and good administration, and strong campaigning in the state has left the Federalists in a very strong position. However, the state's closeness last round is preventing the Feds from running away with it: future campaigning will be decisive, but the Federalist victory here could be astounding - or the state could produce a stunning defeat for the Governor.

Massachusetts:

Governor: Conor Murphy, with a legislative plurality in both chambers

Administration's popularity: 55% - 40%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  32%
Liberal Party  -  24%
Federalist Party  -  19%
Democratic Alliance  -  18%
Juche Party  -  1%

While the administration here is popular, and the state is very solidly Labor, it seems voters are not yet completely sold on reelecting the Labor government. However, the incumbent party are very clear favorites in the race.

Virgin Islands:

Governor: Chad D. Allen, with a legislative plurality in both chambers

Administration's popularity: 52% - 40%

Polling:

Democratic Alliance (inc.)  -  29%
Liberal Party  -  25%
Labor Party  -  20%
Federalist Party  -  15%
Juche Party  -  0%

The state's government is popular, but most campaigning has come from the Liberal Party (which also got a huge majority of the state's vote in the last presidential election).

[Peanut]

Mr. GM,

It appears that you have made a math error in the Idaho poll


----signed, a concerned citizen

나는 그렇게 생각하지 않는다

[Peanut]

F

Fear not! Here are the polls.

[Peanut]

Honestly, I wouldn't mind just not having limits. It's not something I particularly care about, especially as campaigning styles differ so drastically between parties it really makes no sense. So really, I defer to you on the matter: do you want campaigning limits?

[Peanut]

April campaigning closed yesterday, of course. All events posted will be taken into consideration and weighed equally regardless of the campaigner's current registration status.

[Peanut]

ARE YOU READY FOR RESULTS? ? ? ?

[Peanut]

ARE YOU READY FOR RESULTS? ? ? ?

Yes.

If this doesn't materialize tonight ur fired

I DON'T HEAR YOU

[Peanut]

RESULTS! TONIGHT!

[Peanut]

April 2021 - Fremont results

North Dakota State Election:

Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		76%		35 MPs / 18 Senators
Federalist Party		11%		6 MPs / 3 Senators
Democratic Alliance		7%		5 MPs / 2 Senators
Liberal Party		6%		4 MP / 2 Senators
Total				50 MPs / 25 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Dorgan reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Labor supermajority

Analysis:

Rural North Dakota turned out heavily and historically for Labor, delivering an impressive victory in the state despite (admittedly scarce) campaigning from other parties. Governor Dorgan's amazing popularity and strong, results-centered Labor campaigning gave them a supermajority to go nicely with South Dakota's right next door.

Idaho State Election:

Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		56%		28 MPs / 14 Senators
Liberal Party		20%		10 MPs / 6 Senators
Democratic Alliance		12%		6 MPs /  2 Senators
Federalist Party		12%		6 MPs / 3 Senators
Total				50 MPs / 25 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Smith reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Labor House and Senate majority

Analysis:

Labor far outpaced other parties with its Idaho campaigning, and not in a particularly close manner. While some gimmicks were interesting, like a focus on potatoes, the laser focus of "Labor built that!" deprived other parties of oxygen and pretty much assured a striking Labor victory.

Iowa State Election:

Standard Fremont System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		49%		41 MPs / 21 Senators
Federalist Party		34%		29 MP / 10 Senators
Democratic Alliance		14%		7 MPs / 5 Senators
Liberal Party		6%		3 MPs / 4 Senators
Total				80 MPs / 40 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Finkenauer elected 51-37 in the second round

Incoming Legislature:
Labor House and Senate majority

Analysis:

The sheer number of Labor events in the state was astounding, but it was the quality of these events that really sealed the deal for a fully-red Fremont: every campaigner was excellently prepared to speak on the issues that mattered to them (from technology to the history of the region). While Federalist campaigning was not bad (indeed, they barely backslided from their numbers from last election), the fact is they were simply outmatched this time.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election:

RCV System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		42%
Liberal Party		30%
Federalist Party		17%
Democratic Alliance		11%

Mayoral result:
Labor win, Mayor Johnson reelected 52-48 in the final round

While the Mayor is popular, his reelection proved closer than expected due to an all-around lack of campaigning, but it nevertheless occurred as predicted by most.

With a full Labor sweep of the Fremont states now official, pay attention to this thread for more information on the Southern and Lincoln elections!

[Peanut]

April 2021 - Southern results

West Virginia State Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		57%		67 Reps /  19 Senators
Liberal Party		20%		17 Reps / 6 Senators
Labor Party		13%		11 Reps / 4 Senators
Democratic Alliance		10%		5 Reps / 5 Senators
Total				100 Reps / 34 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Federalist win, Governor Rhodes reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist House supermajority and Senate majority

Analysis:

Well, that was basically graded on a curve. WV residents were left expecting campaigning from their leaders, but the scarce individual responsibility-focused Federalist campaign resonated with voters as they gave Governor Rhodes a historic supermajority in the legislature.

Mississippi State Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		50%		72 Reps /  30 Senators
Democratic Alliance		31%		29 Reps / 11 Senators
Liberal Party		15%		16 Reps / 7 Senators
Labor Party		4%		5 Reps / 4 Senators
Total				122 Reps / 52 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Federalist win, Governor reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist House and Senate majority

Analysis:

While rumors came and went about a supposed drunken rally by none other than the Vice President, threats of nuclear winter were not enough to deter proud Mississippians from turning out and reelecting their Federalist government (even if, interestingly, none of our respondents to the exit poll could actually name the Governor they had just voted for).

Kansas State Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Democratic Alliance		59%		72 Reps / 27 Senators
Liberal Party		25%		30 Reps / 6 Senators
Federalist Party		11%		15 Reps / 5 Senators
Labor Party		5%		5 Reps / 2 Senators
Total				125 Reps / 40 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
DA win, Governor Benson reelected

Incoming Legislature:
DA House majority and Senate supermajority

Analysis:

Well, that was a freebie. Strong DA campaigning across the state, and a showstopping closing rally filled with star power, sealed Governor Benson's reelection (even on the face of conspiracy theories, pushed by some extremist Labor circles, that the Governor is just a golden retriever in a trenchcoat). Scarce opposition, save for Liberal campaigning, granted a much-needed shot in the arm to DA prospects by handing them the Senate supermajority in the state.

North Carolina State Election:

Standard Southern System

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		69%		84 Reps / 35 Senators
Liberal Party		10%		13 Reps /  5 Senators
Democratic Alliance		10%		11 Reps / 5 Senators
Labor Party		10%		9 Reps / 5 Senators
Total				120 Reps / 50 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Federalist win, Governor reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist House and Senate supermajority

Analysis:

The star power Senator North Carolina Yankee was unopposed - quite literally, as only the Liberals so much as made a push for the state, resulting in an impressive climb in the polls from their earlier polling. NCY's appeals were based on compassionate, competent, region-based government, which (despite, similar to above Mississippi, a historically unknown Governor) appealed to residents, and his home-state bonus (the state is literally in his name) had an even bigger effect in the face of the lack of other parties' campaigning.

[Peanut]

New York State Election:

MMP House

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Federalist Party		53%		82 Reps / 37 Senators
Liberal Party		28%		38 Reps / 17 Senators
Labor Party		10%		15 Reps / 4 Senators
Democratic Alliance		9%		15 Reps /  5 Senators
Total				150 Reps / 63 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Federalist win, Governor Denniston reelected

Incoming Legislature:
Federalist House and Senate majority

Analysis:

Very popular Governor Denniston cruised to reelection, and a trifecta, thanks to strong Federalist campaigning in the state. Other parties' rhetoric didn't work quite as well (are New Yorkers elitists, or are they not? We all know the answer, and a bit of consistency's always good!), and strong, record-based Fed appeals (albeit a bit platitude-filled at times) worked very well in the Empire State and holds the state for the Federalist Party.

Massachusetts State Election:

PR system

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Labor Party		48%		77 Reps / 19 Senators
Liberal Party		32%		51 Reps / 13 Senators
Democratic Alliance		12%		19 Reps /  5 Senators
Federalist Party		8%		13 Reps / 3 Senators
Total				160 Reps / 40 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Labor Party win, Governor Murphy reelected 55-45 in the final round

Incoming Legislature:
Labor House and Senate plurality

Analysis:

The marquee race in Lincoln this season ends with a (close!) reelection for Governor Murphy. Both main parties in the state had parallel campaigning styles (efforts on energy, government structure, and taxation were very prominent), but ultimately popularity and volume won out. While Governor Murphy will once again govern without a full trifecta, he will govern nonetheless: it remains to be seen whether he keeps his popularity levels up, given his surprisingly close reelection as, out of the roughly 20% of the vote redistributed, only 7% broke for him.

Virgin Islands State Election:

PR system

Party/Alliance		Votes (%)		Seats
Democratic Alliance		36%		9 Reps /  5 Senators
Liberal Party		35%		9 Reps / 5 Senators
Labor Party		16%		4 Reps / 2 Senators
Federalist Party		13%		3 Reps / 2 Senators
Total				25 Reps / 15 Senators

Gubernatorial result:
Democratic Alliance win, Governor Allen reelected 50.6-49.4 in the final round

Incoming Legislature:
No majority

Analysis:

Confusing and close election where both parties' rhetoric was relatively strong and pref distributions were decisive. Federalist preferences gave the Liberals a big boost, giving them 44% in the second round, but Labor prefs broke for the DA and reelected Governor Allen by the slimmest of margins. The closeness of the race is reflected in the legislature, where no discernible majority or governing coalition emerges at this point.

[Peanut]

I think Labor were the clear winners this season. Despite falling to laughable numbers in many states, they achieved their priorities masterfully, and I think they've become such a well-oiled machine where every campaigner plays to their strengths that it's hard to beat them at their best.


As for the Feds, you guys are good campaigners as I said at the end of March, but you seemed a bit disorganized this time. Hope to see that improve next month, it's normal (and happened to other parties too last month somewhat).

And DA and Libs, well, Virginia only knows.


The calendar for the May season is as follows:

• Campaigning opens Wednesday, May 5th.
• First polls are out Friday, May 7th.
• Random events are out Wednesday 12th. These are already written up as I was originally planning for them to affect April, but they'll be modified and posted this month as our first true experience with randomized events.
• Second polling update out Sunday, May 16th.
• Third polling update out Sunday, May 23rd.
• Campaigning closes Wednesday, May 26th.
• Results to be posted during the last weekend of May.

[Peanut]

Btw, I have all four parties from last round marked as participating. Any change needed?

[Peanut]

For both legislative and gubernatorial races, yes?

[Peanut]

Got it. Polls are being posted tonight because I don't think I can post on Friday.

[Peanut]

Atlasia Elects: May 2021
The state of play



Guam, with its Liberal Governor and Labor pluralities, not shown on the map. California stands for the San Francisco Mayoralty.

Active events:
Utah death reports scandal hurting Labor a lot in Utah, moderately in Fremont
Wisconsin legislators scandal hurting Labor moderately in Lincoln
Missouri dam report helping Federalists a lot in Missouri, a little in the South


May. The month of emeralds and workers. The season of mayapples, a prelude to summer. And, for Atlasians from Guam to New Jersey, a time to elect all-new state governments! How will the campaigns play out? Will state governments and pesky party officials thwart national efforts to make one party rule the game? All that and more, in the May season of NPC elections!!!


The state of the states:

Utah:

Governor: Eric Udall, with a trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 57% - 40%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  42%
Liberal Party  -  21%
Federalist Party  -  20%
Democratic Alliance  -  7%


Governor Udall remains popular, just as First Minister Truman and his regionwide government. The state, which has strongly supported Labor earlier, looks likely to reelect the Governor and his majority in both chambers, but recent conflicts could complicate that... more to come, in the events section of the Citizen's Dispatch!

Wyoming:

Governor: Wynonna Thomas, with a trifecta

Administration's popularity: 81% - 10%

Polling:
Labor Party (inc.)  -  66%
Liberal Party  -  12%
Federalist Party  -  12%
Democratic Alliance  -  10%

"Wyoming LOVES Wynonna", reads a sign outside one of approximately three houses in Laramie. And for good reason: Governor Thomas has ranked several times as the most popular Governor in Atlasia, and recent news of her engagement to a popular local rapper have only placed her further in the eyes of pop culture and endeared her to the citizenry. Her policies have proven very popular and effective in protecting her state, and she has consistently had a cheery disposition in her rallies, events, and executive/legislative communication.

Montana:

Governor: Governor Budd Fudrucker, with a majority in the House and plurality in the Senate.

Administration's popularity: 54% - 41%

Polling:
Labor Party (inc.)  -  36%
Federalist Party  -  31%
Liberal Party  -  19%
Democratic Alliance  -  10%


Governor Fuddrucker is as Montana as they come, with his famous truck photos, his widely-seen gaffe during his last State of the State address (where he pointed at the Senate Minority Leader, criticizing his vote on a recent rural bill, saying "and I'd point at you with all five fingers if I had 'em"), and his response to concerns over his weight by wrestling a declawed bear on the steps of the State Capitol. His administration has been popular, but concerns over his... attitudes have sparked concern and a backlash from members of the opposition. How will the campaign play out? It remains to be seen!

Guam:

Governor: Pat Aguon, with Labor pluralities in the legislature.

Administration's popularity: 34% - 40%

Polling:

Liberal Party  (inc.) -  34%
Federalist Party  -  20%
Democratic Alliance  -  15%


 Guam is not a very politically-involved state, as reflected in the unpopularity (but general neutrality) of Governor Aguon. In a state like this, campaigning and alliances will be key to charting the path towards the election.

San Francisco:

Mayor: Nora Chu

Administration's popularity: 45% - 45%

Polling:

Labor Party (inc.)  -  34%
Democratic Alliance  -  20%
Liberal Party  -  20%
Federalist Party  -  20%

While the Citizen's Dispatch polled San Francisco, the most common response when asked for an opinion on Mayor Chu was "meh". Every party can build on their starting numbers, as a decidedly mediocre (but not bad!) Mayor seeks reelection.


Texas:

Governor: Ramsey Bryant, with a plurality in both chambers.

Administration's popularity: 42% - 45%

Polling:

Federalist Party  -  36%
Labor Party (inc.)  -  36%
Democratic Alliance  -  6%
The crown jewel of Southern Labor, the Texas state government, has been rather ineffective. Under Governor Bryant's administration, the state has faced an unprecedented energy crisis that Bryant's legislature, due to deadlock, didn't accurately respond to and which led to the death of at least 100 Texans, a majority voting against Governor Bryant's party in the last presidential election, and a razor-thin working coalition in the legislature that has sunk most of the Governor's policies. Nevertheless, personal approvals for the Governor remain high, as most consider him someone they'd leave their house keys with when traveling (a polling question inspired by similar ones in neighboring Mexico).

Kentucky:

Governor: Hal Harlan, with a trifecta.

Administration's popularity: 42% - 46%

Polling:

Federalist Party (inc.)  -  39%
Democratic Alliance  -  24%
Labor Party  -  20%
Liberal Party  -  4%

Governor Harlan should be very thankful the Federalist Party is as strong as it is in Kentucky, because in any other state his reelection would be nothing short of doomed. However, nobody expects Kentucky's base partisanship to surprise. In fact, several internet communities (The Citizen's Dispatch published examples from an elections forum in its Sunday issue) have made Unbeatable Titan Hal Harlan sort of a running joke, and taken to ostracize those who believe the opposition could pick the state up. Indeed, at this point it's pretty much a pipe dream, as the Governor is still where he needs to be in approvals - just not as much as one would expect in such a staunchly orangered state.

Missouri:

Governor: George Chamberlin, with a Federalist plurality in both chambers

Administration's popularity: 36% - 45%

Polling:

Federalist Party  -  34%
Labor Party/Peace  -  30%
Democratic Alliance  -  9%
Liberal Party  -  7%

The Show Me State is also the one that's showing us the least in these polls. We know the government is unpopular (and Governor Chamberlin has proven not very adept at dealing with the opposition legislature) but that's as much as the voters are really telling us.


Vermont:

Governor: Joanne Campbell, with a plurality in both chambers

Administration's popularity: 49% - 45%

Polling:

Federalist Party (inc.) -  40%
Labor Party  -  30%
Liberal Party  -  15%
Democratic Alliance  -  10%

Governor Campbell's government is above water, and (surprisingly, given her previous notoriety in national news) Vermont's vaccination and positivity rates are setting examples for the nation. Additionally, her regular appearance on a cooking show (Aunt Jo's Spoon) has endeared her to the state, as she gives you the best dessert recipes you've ever seen, all while criticizing President Sestak and Governor Kaiser Dave and highlighting her administration's achievements.

New Jersey:

Governor: Bryan Baglieri, with a Labor plurality in both chambers

Administration's popularity: 49% - 42%

Polling:

Labor Party -  36%
Democratic Alliance (inc.)  -  33%
Federalist Party  -  19%
Liberal Party  -  15%


New Jersey's a mess, so really more of the usual in the state.

[Peanut]

Got it. Polls modified to reflect that.