beesley
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,118
Political Matrix E: -4.52, S: 2.61
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« on: March 20, 2021, 07:51:53 AM » |
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I think the above post is pretty accurate, but I can think of some alternates:
A Conservative/NDP Swing Voter: As well as those in Quebec, perhaps someone in the BC Interior linked to particular industries - they voted for the NDP under Mulcair and Layton, but between Jagmeet being too progressive and not supporting their industry and the anti-Trudeau vote coalescing around the Tories, they are left with no other choice. Similar to a few BCL and BCNDP swing voters.
A Conservative/Liberal Swing Voter: Outside of the 905, someone who was genuinely enthused by Justin Trudeau and may still be inclined towards him because of some of his policies (e.g. the Canada Child Benefit) but otherwise isn't that much better off and will reluctantly vote Conservative due to more faith in that party, as well as those voters who were turned off by Trudeau's ethics violations and some of his foreign policy.
An NDP-Bloc Swing Voter: I think VPH identified pretty much all of them, but also a few CAQ voters who aren't left-wing, but voted for the NDP in 2011 and maybe 2015 because of their advocacy for Quebec. There's probably some overlap between these voters and Liberal-Bloc Swing Voters and there are obviously a few who voted NDP in 2011, Liberal in 2015 and Bloc in 2019.
A Liberal-Bloc Swing Voter: Similar to the above, a nationalist but again probably a CAQ voter. They are conservative in the Legault sense - Quebec values, immigration, but don't care for the Western economics or social policy of the Federal Conservatives.
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