March 2021-- Which is Most Likely? (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  March 2021-- Which is Most Likely? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of the following scenarios is most likely for the political future of Donald Trump?
#1
Trump hints about running in 2024, but fades away due to loss of enthusiasm/legal troubles
 
#2
Trump hints about running in 2024, but dies before the primaries officially start
 
#3
Trump announces his campaign, but is forced to drop out due to legal complications/pressure from the GOP
 
#4
Trump announces his campaign, but the moderate vote consolidates around a candidate who defeats him in the primaries
 
#5
Trump wins the nomination and then dies sometime after the convention
 
#6
Trump wins the nomination but is forced to drop out, and gets replaced with a more moderate candidate
 
#7
Trump wins the nomination, runs in the general, and loses
 
#8
Trump wins the nomination, runs in the general, and wins a second term
 
#9
Trump doesn't run, but anoints a successor who easily sweeps the primaries
 
#10
Trump doesn't run and actively criticizes the GOP nominee
 
#11
Other (specify in comments)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 72

Author Topic: March 2021-- Which is Most Likely?  (Read 1852 times)
beesley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,115
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 2.61

« on: March 04, 2021, 09:42:24 AM »
« edited: March 04, 2021, 09:48:06 AM by beesley »

I think the two likeliest options are the ones at extreme ends; either 'Trump hints about running in 2024, but fades away due to loss of enthusiasm/legal troubles' or either scenario in which Trump wins the nomination.
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beesley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,115
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2021, 10:54:11 AM »


How are DeSantis and Haley moderates? Latter may be nicer in tone, but they all have embraced Trump and the Tea Party's right wing agenda. By no means are they moderate. Even Kasich is conservative on a lot of issues, though calling him a moderate would be much more accurate than the 2 named above.

In the same way that Ted Cruz tried to paint Trump as 'moderate' (or whatever more derogatory term he used). DeSantis becomes more of a moderate because there is no way Kasich or anyone remotely from that vein would win a Republican Presidential primary.
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