OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance

[Mail-order President]

With all the comparisons of Ohio now being what Missouri was 10 years ago , remember 10 years ago the GOP ran Todd Akin for the senate and lost that race.


While I have this race as Likely R, Josh Mandel has the potential to be the Todd Akin of this race and blow it

Akin was running in a Democratic leaning year against an incumbent where polarization was far lower than it is now. OH isn't a swing state anymore and a Democratic midterm won't flip it.

MO was also not that Republican at that time although it was trending GOP. Obama almost won MO in 2008 and had voted in a Democratic governor by double-digits twice. It was more purple than OH is now.

[Mail-order President]

With all the comparisons of Ohio now being what Missouri was 10 years ago , remember 10 years ago the GOP ran Todd Akin for the senate and lost that race.


While I have this race as Likely R, Josh Mandel has the potential to be the Todd Akin of this race and blow it

Akin was running in a Democratic leaning year against an incumbent where polarization was far lower than it is now. OH isn't a swing state anymore and a Democratic midterm won't flip it.

MO was also not that Republican at that time although it was trending GOP. Obama almost won MO in 2008 and had voted in a Democratic governor by double-digits twice. It was more purple than OH is now.

Romney won MO by a larger margin than Trump won MO, and I am not saying its purple just that a Todd Akin situation seems possible in this race

Romney won MO by single digits while Trump won MO by 15%+ twice. I don't see how what Mandel is tweeting is going to hurt him. With this level of polarization, no one will be swayed to vote for the Democrat in OH.