How the hell does Rauner-Obama win the Republican Primary as a moderate, pro-choice candidate? Is the conservative vote split between like 8 feckless candidates?
Also, do you think Obama still loses Illinois even though he won a Senate seat from there in '04? I would imagine that there'd be significant northeast/west coast swing toward the Republicans and significant southern D swing, though maybe not enough to effect the map.
What I think the primary map looks like:
Obama wins over independents, females, minorities, and 18-30, particularly 18-25, year olds in the primaries. Blue could probably be Romney. It could also be Leavitt or Huntsman with strong Romney backing.
I doubt any strong Romney backing for Huntsman, Romney and Huntsman hate each other and have since the 2002 SLC Olympics.
