TX Reuters/Ipsos: O'Rourke +2

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Being honest I think this balances out the Quinnipiac poll from yesterday. Nice to see, and definately an "I WANT TO BELIEVE" poll, but this is most likely an outlier, like the one from yesterday. Still gonna put this on the edge of Lean and Tilt R.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

With Cruz at +4/5 you'll get a poll showing Cruz +9 and a poll showing Beto +2, nothing unusual...

Taken in conjunction with QPac suggests a 4-5 Cruz lead, which fits the general vibe of the race

This is the correct take.

Averaging this and Quinnipiac is like dumping a trash bag on top of your steak and thinking that gives better food than the steak alone. The correct take is to eat the steak and throw the trash bag into the dumpster.

Uhmm, excuse me, but trash steak gives some of us hope!

yeah, like that one moldy piece of cheese looks like BLUE CHEESE HA HA FUNNY JOKE