Who will the DesMoines Register endorse ?

[Eraserhead]

I think it is a 60% chance for Edwards, and a 40% chance for Obama

^^^^

[Eraserhead]

We should found out in an hour or two I guess.

[Eraserhead]

People are overreacting to this. Who cares? The DMR endorsement wasn't what helped Edwards come in second at the end in Jan. '04, it was Kucinch telling his people to caucus for him. This will just help raise the expectations back up for Clinton in Iowa which will make Obama's win more meaningful.

[Eraserhead]

People are overreacting to this. Who cares? The DMR endorsement wasn't what helped Edwards come in second at the end in Jan. '04, it was Kucinch telling his people to caucus for him. This will just help raise the expectations back up for Clinton in Iowa which will make Obama's win more meaningful.

Uhh... I doubt Kucinich commanded over 20% of Iowa caucus-goers. If he did, he wouldn't have formed an alliance with Edwards.

Well that certainly had a bigger impact than the DMR endorsement on his final numbers.

[Eraserhead]

Edwards had been gaining before the DMR endorsement. In many ways, claiming that the DMR endorsement gave him the momentum to take a surprise second was revisionist history on the part of all the "Iowa insiders" that had pegged Dean to win the caucus.

Correct.