PRRI: Biden +14 /+18 (varying turnout models)

[Eraserhead]

Probably junk but lovely junk indeed.

[Eraserhead]

Probably junk but lovely junk indeed.

> get numerous high quality national polls with Biden lead anywhere from 10-14%
> get another A/B poll with +14
> "probably junk"

It's +18 with the high turnout model which you've claimed before is the only one that matters.

His polling lead is about 9 points in the average. Do you really think Biden's lead is double that? Do try to tether yourself to reality somewhat.

[Eraserhead]

Probably junk but lovely junk indeed.

> get numerous high quality national polls with Biden lead anywhere from 10-14%
> get another A/B poll with +14
> "probably junk"

It's +18 with the high turnout model which you've claimed before is the only one that matters.

His polling lead is about 9 points in the average. Do you really think Biden's lead is double that? Do try to tether yourself to reality somewhat.

His polling lead is +11, per 538.

Cool. His polling lead in that particular aggregate does nothing to change my point.

[Eraserhead]

Probably junk but lovely junk indeed.

> get numerous high quality national polls with Biden lead anywhere from 10-14%
> get another A/B poll with +14
> "probably junk"

It's +18 with the high turnout model which you've claimed before is the only one that matters.

His polling lead is about 9 points in the average. Do you really think Biden's lead is double that? Do try to tether yourself to reality somewhat.

His polling lead is +11, per 538.

Cool. His polling lead in that particular aggregate does nothing to change my point.

Yes, it obviously does

Care to elaborate?

Even if you use 538's polling average (which is just one of several) in what world does a Biden +18 poll not look extremely questionable?

[Eraserhead]

Probably junk but lovely junk indeed.

> get numerous high quality national polls with Biden lead anywhere from 10-14%
> get another A/B poll with +14
> "probably junk"

It's +18 with the high turnout model which you've claimed before is the only one that matters.

His polling lead is about 9 points in the average. Do you really think Biden's lead is double that? Do try to tether yourself to reality somewhat.

His polling lead is +11, per 538.

Cool. His polling lead in that particular aggregate does nothing to change my point.

Yes, it obviously does

Care to elaborate?

Ok. 9≠11

+14 is as much of an outlier as +8

Did you actually read my post in response to him? He has stated before that he only trusts high turnout models... which in this case is Biden +18.

[Eraserhead]

Probably junk but lovely junk indeed.

> get numerous high quality national polls with Biden lead anywhere from 10-14%
> get another A/B poll with +14
> "probably junk"

Hey, care to tell me anything else about what a great poll this was, wbrocks67?