Is Mississippi the Most Inelastic state and what direction is MS moving towards? (user search)
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  Is Mississippi the Most Inelastic state and what direction is MS moving towards? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Huh
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
#3
Trending more Republican
 
#4
Trending more Democratic
 
#5
Stagnant
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 119

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Author Topic: Is Mississippi the Most Inelastic state and what direction is MS moving towards?  (Read 6311 times)
Agafin
Jr. Member
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Posts: 947
Cameroon


« on: November 14, 2020, 09:41:25 AM »

Bump

Well, with almost all the votes counted, Mississippi really stands out compared to other states:

>Contrary to the consensus in this poll, it has both swung AND trended right for two consecutive cycles now. In 2012, it voted R by 11 points (15 points to the right of the nation), in 2016, it voted R by 18 points (20 points to the right of the nation) and now in 2020, it appears to have voted R by around 20 points (~25 points to the right of the nation).

>Turnout has also decreased for two consecutive cycles now (especially surprising in 2020 when almost every state saw massive turnout increases). 2020 might have 100k (~8%) less votes cast than 2012 even though the population stayed more or less the same.

What can explain these?
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