Speaking of minorities, how much impact would there be if the Jewish population in the United States switched party affiliations from Democrat to Republican, based on President Obama's position regarding Jewish settlement growth on Palestinian territory?
Jews have been trending R since 1992 or so. GOP has gone from 10% to 25%, slowly but steadily. I wouldn't be surprised if Muslims were the reason either.
Arabs(not sure about Muslims) used to lean Republican until 9/11, and Bush's policies against the Arab World such as the Iraq War and the Patriot Act. Ron Paul could of got at 60% of the Arab vote and win Michigan if he was the nominee. He was endorsed by a major Muslims newspaper.