PPP NC: Obama leads by ~250k in EV, but Election Day voters strongly McCain (user search)
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  PPP NC: Obama leads by ~250k in EV, but Election Day voters strongly McCain (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP NC: Obama leads by ~250k in EV, but Election Day voters strongly McCain  (Read 2231 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: November 03, 2008, 01:30:30 AM »
Yeah, McCain probably wins NC by 50-49-1.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2008, 02:00:43 AM »
Obama clings to a 1-point lead:

Obama - 50
McCain - 49
Barr - 1

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_1103173.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2008, 02:16:19 AM »
Quote from: Jacobtm on November 03, 2008, 02:12:51 AM
Only 22% African American? Seems to be an underestimation to me.

According to this poll, it seems Election Day voters are heavily Republican. Therefore less Blacks will vote tomorrow, pushing down the overall Black share. They made up about 26.5% of the early vote, which makes up about 60-70% of the overall vote. If only 15-20% of tomorrow's voters are Black, overall Black composition could go down to 22%.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,199
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2008, 02:24:25 AM »
Montana and Florida are next.

I´m guessing they'll show McCain up 50-48 in MT and Obama up by a similar margin in FL.
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