NC-SurveyUSA: Obama's lead down to 5

[Tender Branson]

A new SurveyUSA poll will show Clinton pulling within 5% of Obama. Among Whites the poll will show her leading by 31% after 23% last week ... Later more.

[Tender Branson]

I´m pretty sure that the African-American vote will make up about 30-35% of the total vote. There are about 5.8 Mio registered voters in NC, about 3.9 of them are Democrats and Independents. According to the NC Board of Elections, there are 1.2 Mio registered African-American voters. Let´s assume that 95% of all registered African-Americans are also Democrats and Independents, their share would make up 30% of all registered Dems+Indies. Not all Independents will turn out in the Democratic primary, therefore the share will most likely be higher, likely at around 35%.

PS: Poll cross-tabs

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d4d1bc7e-32d4-438e-8143-75c8b25b3435